[NL2-NL10] Nl10 - 99

    • randompkr
      randompkr
      Bronze
      Joined: 08.01.2009 Posts: 76
      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

      Play hand

      $0.05/$0.1 No-Limit Hold'em (7 handed)

      Known players:
      CO:
      $10.68
      BU:
      $16.23
      SB:
      $5.25
      BB:
      $4.00
      MP1 (Hero):
      $10.65
      MP2:
      $10.00
      MP3:
      $5.63


      Preflop: Hero is MP1 with 9, 9.
      Hero raises to $0.30, 2 folds, CO calls $0.30, 3 folds, 2 folds, BB folds.

      Flop: ($0.75) 9, J, 8 (2 players)
      Hero bets $0.55, CO raises to $1.60, Hero calls $1.05.

      Turn: ($3.95) 5 (2 players)
      Hero checks, CO bets $2.20, Hero calls $2.20.

      River: ($8.35) 3 (2 players)
      Hero checks, CO bets $4.00, Hero calls $4.00.

      Final Pot: $16.35.

      Results follow:

      CO shows a straight, queen high(Qh Th).
      Hero shows three of a kind, nines(9h 9s).

      CO wins with a straight, queen high(Qh Th).




      At that moment villain was playing 5/5 with 0% 3bet and 3.0 AF. On the flop he represents QTs, JJ, 88 and maybe QQ. Not sure if he would raise there with JTs. If I 3bet and he shoves, I'm not doing great, because I don't think his going broke with QQ there. I only beat 88 then. Decided to call, because my hand is just too strong and I can improve to full house in case he has QTs. Turn is blank, can't really fold there either I think. River is blank and that smallish bet really looks like for value, I expect him to shove when bluffing. Question is: Can I find a fold here? I think his going to check back QQ and weirdly played JTs, so I only beat bluff and 88.
  • 4 replies
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,694
      No obviously not folding

      U might want to think abt whether a 5/5 guy has qts in his preflop range
      I dun know abt ur sample size but someone with 0% 3bet msy be slowplaying aa and kk always
      Which means that if he overplays qq-aa theres no way u shuld ever consider folding 88 let one 99
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,694
      No obviously not folding

      U might want to think abt whether a 5/5 guy has qts in his preflop range
    • randompkr
      randompkr
      Bronze
      Joined: 08.01.2009 Posts: 76
      While playing I really didn't think he has QTs there aswell because of his stats. Altho sample was really small, if I remember correctly ~50 hands only. When I ended the session he was already playing like 17/10, so that's somewhat my leak in the game. I rely too much on stats sometimes.
      Thanks for the help, I guess I was being too result oriented there.
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello randompkr,

      What's the point of calling the flop? If you assume to be ahead and him rather not bluffing then just 3bet the flop and get it in instead of Calling. :) We might even want to protect our hand there and want to avoid seeing horrible cards with he wont pay us.

      Best Regards.