[NL20-NL50] NL25 FR Zoom: AQs flush

    • HughJazz82
      Joined: 21.04.2006 Posts: 1,227

      do i have to fold that river for the given odds?

      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.25(BB) Replayer
      SB ($35.32)
      BB ($28.58)
      UTG ($28.26)
      Hero ($25.29)
      UTG+2 ($24.27)
      MP1 ($24.65) [18 / 14 /1.5 / 14 (120h)]
      MP2 ($16.14)
      CO ($21.76)
      BTN ($12.15)

      Dealt to Hero Q:spade: A:spade:

      fold, Hero raises to $1, fold, MP1 calls $1, fold, fold, fold, fold, fold

      FLOP ($2.35) 8:diamond: 9:spade: 6:spade:

      Hero bets $1.75, MP1 calls $1.75

      TURN ($5.85) 8:diamond: 9:spade: 6:spade: T:spade:

      Hero bets $4, MP1 calls $4

      RIVER ($13.85) 8:diamond: 9:spade: 6:spade: T:spade: 6:club:

      Hero checks, MP1 bets $6.50, Hero calls $6.50
  • 4 replies
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779
      that's really nitty. You have the nut flush and he didn't raise flop so only likely full-house is TT. He's going to valuebet some worse flushes like KsJs unless you are really sure that he never calls that preflop.

      For all you know he might even valuebet 77.
    • HughJazz82
      Joined: 21.04.2006 Posts: 1,227
      Well, not sure if villain will raise the flop with a set, so there are maybe more FHs in his range.
      But yeah, i ran into TT here.
    • Tomaloc
      Joined: 17.01.2011 Posts: 7,013
      a set should totally raise this flop because of the sheer amount of action killers. 5x, 7x, Tx,
      also a bunch of (backdoor) draws could potentially be raised there but i don't see that happen on 25 too often

      as it went i would also bet/fold the river, and bet big like at least 2/3 for value and also so that i can be sure that he won't be shipping a worse hand.
      his range has A LOT of hands that you beat and that can pay you, like worse flushes and 7x and twopairs (granted that twopairs will most likely be folding) while we don't know how thin he vbets and may check behind a lot.
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello HughJazz82,

      Rather Bet/Fold the river yourself for value, he is Checking behind a lot weaker holdings there. :(

      Best Regards.