[NL20-NL50] NL20 SH Q9s vs float

    • SPeedFANat1c
      SPeedFANat1c
      Gold
      Joined: 04.01.2009 Posts: 5,069
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.20(BB) Replayer
      SB ($20.54)
      BB ($35.17)
      UTG ($34.91)
      UTG+1 ($21.24)
      Hero ($23.17)
      BTN ($14.93)

      Dealt to Hero 9:spade: Q:spade:

      fold, fold, Hero raises to $0.50, BTN calls $0.50, fold, fold

      FLOP ($1.30) A:spade: 4:club: 8:club:

      Hero bets $0.70, BTN calls $0.70

      TURN ($2.70) A:spade: 4:club: 8:club: J:diamond:

      Hero checks, BTN bets $1.30, Hero folds

      BTN wins $2.57

      34/8/1.9, AF turn 3.8, fold to cbet 60, wtsd 27, w$sd 45, bet in position vs missed cbet total 81 (21), 279 hands

      Looks like this player might have lot of bluffs on turn. There is not much statistics about bet IP vs missed cbet on turn, but total is big - 81%. So its likely that he bets turn.

      But what to do here? He probably is not having total air, sinces his fold to cbet is 60. He can have FDs, Ax, pairs 77+. So by second barreling I might have not that much fold equity.
      Hard to do anything vs his bluffs.
  • 4 replies
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello SPeedFANat1c,

      I'd plan to 2nd barrel if I'd also improve my hand as pair/FD, therefore in that case on that kind of turn card I'd Check/Fold cause I don't expect him to be folding any made hand nor draws.

      Best Regards.
    • SPeedFANat1c
      SPeedFANat1c
      Gold
      Joined: 04.01.2009 Posts: 5,069
      I'd plan to 2nd barrel if I'd also improve my hand as pair/FD


      Maybe if I improve to the pair, then turn it into bluff catcher knowing that he floats so much?
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Originally posted by SPeedFANat1c
      I'd plan to 2nd barrel if I'd also improve my hand as pair/FD


      Maybe if I improve to the pair, then turn it into bluff catcher knowing that he floats so much?
      And what would you do if he bets the river again on a blank? :)
    • SPeedFANat1c
      SPeedFANat1c
      Gold
      Joined: 04.01.2009 Posts: 5,069
      Originally posted by veriz
      Originally posted by SPeedFANat1c
      I'd plan to 2nd barrel if I'd also improve my hand as pair/FD


      Maybe if I improve to the pair, then turn it into bluff catcher knowing that he floats so much?
      And what would you do if he bets the river again on a blank? :)
      Assuming he bets the same size on the turn as here:

      River:
      His overall agression is low, so we can assume that is more likely that on river he is passive. So if the bet is small, like 1/3, we could call. But bet like half pot may mean that I am beat more often. Its really not easy decition. Busted draws might bet.