[NL2-NL10] 33 in BB set AI on monotone board

    • Iceboyro
      Iceboyro
      Bronze
      Joined: 19.08.2010 Posts: 309
      hands/BetVSmissedCbet IP
      VPIP/PFR/AF/Steal/OL
      3b/Cbet/FlopDonk/WTSD

      427/33
      29/25/3.6/41/1
      5.2/71/11/29


      Any thought to fold against LAG on this monotone board?

      Pacific, $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 5 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      MP: $10 (100 bb)
      CO: $16.91 (169.1 bb)
      BTN: $13.51 (135.1 bb)
      SB: $10.35 (103.5 bb)
      Hero (BB): $10.16 (101.6 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BB with 3 3
      2 folds, BTN raises to $0.26, SB folds, Hero raises to $0.82, BTN calls $0.56

      Flop: ($1.69) Q 4 3 (2 players)
      Hero bets $1.46, BTN raises to $3.03, Hero raises to $7.37, BTN raises to $12.69 and is all-in, Hero calls $1.97 and is all-in
  • 3 replies
    • Tomaloc
      Tomaloc
      Bronze
      Joined: 17.01.2011 Posts: 6,858
      hello!

      first we might want to comment on preflop play. why do you 3bet, and why that sizing? what's his fold to 3bet? how much are you 3betting against him in this spot?

      my first thought was that your sizing is a bit too small and he should be calling a wide range there being in position. i'd make it at least 9bb if i decided to 3bet.

      as for flop play... some interesting stats are missing.
      what are his fold to 3bet, won at showdown, fold to cbet? even though the sample isn't super great these may give us a better idea of what can be his range.

      but in general, as played, given that it's a 3bet pot and the opponent profile i am most likely never folding, even though i wouldn't really be super happy about it. :f_biggrin:
    • Iceboyro
      Iceboyro
      Bronze
      Joined: 19.08.2010 Posts: 309
      I can't call because I don't have implied odds so I thought I should fold or 3bet. Yes, I should have 3bet more.

      Some more stats:

      FoldTo3b: 71(17)
      W$SD: 68 (22)
      Fold to Cbet: 40(15)

      So I guess he's a winner.
    • Tomaloc
      Tomaloc
      Bronze
      Joined: 17.01.2011 Posts: 6,858
      looks like a good aggressive player. :f_biggrin:

      yeah, 3betting seems fine but one thing to consider is that he may be calling wider vs your sizing being in position.
      so his flop range can have 44, a lot of suited connectors/broadways which hit a flush, maybe QQ+ (he most likely 4bets), maybe A x, but somewhat weighted towards made flushes.

      with AA no spades we could talk about folding but with 33 we block a set combination + we have fullhouse equity against a flush.
      another possible line could be to call the flop minraise and reevaluate the turn (which mostly means a c/f). we are priced in to try to pair the turncard and A hands may check behind.