[NL2-NL10] NL4 SH, 4bet pot vs fish

    • dienaszaglis
      Joined: 12.06.2008 Posts: 999
      $0.02/$0.04 No Limit Holdem
      6 Players
      Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com

      UTG ($4.24) 106bb
      UTG+1 ($3.76) 94bb
      CO ($5.39) 135bb
      HERO (BTN) ($4.17) 104bb
      SB ($4.21) 105bb
      BB ($2.72) 68bb

      Pre-Flop: ($0.06, 6 players) HERO is BTN K:spade: A:club:
      UTG raises to $0.12, 1 fold, CO raises to $0.20, HERO raises to $0.68, 2 folds, UTG folds, CO calls $0.48

      Flop: 4:heart: Q:heart: 5:club: ($1.54, 2 players)
      CO bets $0.04, HERO calls $0.04

      Turn: 8:diamond: ($1.62, 2 players)
      CO bets $0.04, HERO calls $0.04

      River: 6:heart: ($1.70, 2 players)
      CO bets $0.81, HERO folds

      UTG=27/25, AF:1.6, 147h
      CO=68/33, 3B:10, AF:4.0, SD:21, 81h

      Scenario 1: UTG 5bets AI, CO folds.
      In this case, I think, I would fold. His stats looks reasonable, his 5bet range probably would be QQ+, AK.

      Scenario 2: UTG 5bets AI, CO calls.
      I guess I still would have to fold. Even if CO would call as loose as top 5%, my pot equity would be around 22%.

      Scenario 3: UTG folds, CO 5bets AI.
      As loose and aggressive he is, I would have to call. It`very likely he would ship with JJ+,AJs+,KQs,AQo+

      As played:
      I assume he`s calling with: JJ-77,AQo,KQo,AQs-ATs,KQs

      I think, his range for betting so small is 77-JJ, AhJh, AhTh. Either way, I don`t think raising is good idea. By 'checking' I can improve, otherwise - fold if he bets bigger on turn.

      On the other hand, if I raise, I should have enough FE to profit. But against such a player, I`m not sure if he folds anything on the flop.

      Hoping to 'check' it down.

      Most likely he`s got straight with 77 or flush.
  • 2 replies
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779
      preflop plan seems good.

      I think his minbet is as good as a check. So decide if you want to play it passively and showdown Ace high or bet to take down the pot.

      I think without any heart, we have less barreling opportunities so I don't mind your line. I would call a blank River FYI (2/3/8/4/5/9/Q) even if he halfpots it.

      I fold on J/7/6 cos he can have a ton of 2pairs and straights and also stuff like AJ/KJ random broadway shit
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello dienaszaglis,

      I doubt that I'd play it much differently. We wont have much fold equity anyways by raising on the flop and it's also going to be expensive. Nice hand!

      Best Regards.