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[NL2-NL10] triple barrel bluff on 4 flush board NL16

    • Castle93
      Joined: 06.06.2011 Posts: 1,458
      Poker Stars $16.00 No Limit Hold'em - 5 players - View hand 1945207
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      UTG: $23.40 - VPIP: 42, PFR: 22, 3B: 0, AF: 1.2, Hands: 86
      Hero (CO): $6.16 - VPIP: 14, PFR: 14, 3B: 8, AF: 5.0, Hands: 16372
      BTN: $19.90 - VPIP: 10, PFR: 8, 3B: 4, AF: 1.3, Hands: 160
      SB: $27.69 - VPIP: 20, PFR: 16, 3B: 6, AF: 4.7, Hands: 267
      BB: $46.79 - VPIP: 19, PFR: 12, 3B: 4, AF: 3.3, Hands: 263

      Pre Flop: ($0.24) Hero is CO with Q :spade: K :diamond:
      UTG calls $0.16, Hero raises to $0.64, 3 folds, UTG calls $0.48

      Flop: ($1.52) T :club: 2 :club: J :club: (2 players)
      UTG checks, Hero bets $0.76, UTG calls $0.76

      Turn: ($3.04) 6 :club: (2 players)
      UTG checks, Hero bets $1.00, UTG calls $1

      River: ($5.04) 3 :diamond: (2 players)
      UTG checks, Hero bets $3.76, UTG calls $3.76

      Final Pot: $12.56 UTG shows 3 :spade: 3 :club: Hero shows Q :spade: K :diamond: UTG wins $11.99 (Rake: $0.57)

      Since he limped/ called pre i think hes so hard for him to have a high club here, also as hes just check/called the flop and turn so i think i should have a lot of FEQ here, he has a WTSD of 24% so i dont understand how he calls here?
  • 3 replies
    • JohnDoe1313
      Joined: 04.01.2011 Posts: 5,195

      his gap between VPIP/PFR indicates that he isn't a good player. I don't think you have any FEQ since he check/called turn. He probably has a flush here. Even if he doesn't he'll probably be bad enough not to fold river anyway.

      Btw, your sample is too low to determine WTSD correctly. I wouldn't take that stat into account at all.
    • ctstc
      Joined: 09.11.2009 Posts: 6,280
      c/f directly on the flop, you won't have enough FE on such boards, especially against such a player.
    • BC1989RF
      Joined: 09.04.2010 Posts: 846
      i like your line. as you said not many big clubs in his range. but if you plan to triple a spot make your bets otf/ott bigger as a general rule of thumb. as you expect him to fold on later streets its a bit like a value-bluff. we build bigger dead money.

      like make it 2 ott.