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[NL2-NL10] [mss sh] 99 x resteal

    • ricbode
      ricbode
      Bronze
      Joined: 10.09.2007 Posts: 36
      Villain is 25/22 in 35 hands.

      When he 3bets me I think I have a +ev (or at least break even) push if he has about 8.5% resteal (88+, A9s+, ATo+, KQs or something like that) and goes broke with TT+, AQ+.

      Is this assumption correct? And do you think I can assume this resteal range for him based only on the PFR since I don't have many 3bet stats yet?

      thx!

      $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Holdem
      4 Players
      Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com

      Stacks:
      CO ($10.21) 102bb
      Hero (BTN) ($4.55) 46bb
      SB ($13.65) 137bb
      BB ($10.53) 105bb

      Pre-Flop: ($0.15, 4 players) Hero is BTN 9:diamond: 9:club:
      1 fold, Hero raises to $0.30, SB raises to $1, 1 fold, Hero goes all-in $4.55, SB calls $3.55

      Flop: 6:club: A:diamond: 2:spade: ($9.20, 2 players, 1 all-in)

      Turn: 9:spade: ($9.20, 2 players, 1 all-in)

      River: 4:club: ($9.20, 2 players, 1 all-in)

      Final Pot: $9.20
      Hero shows
      9:diamond: 9:club:
      SB shows
      A:club: Q:club:

      Hero wins $8.74 (net +$4.19)

      SB lost $4.55
  • 1 reply
    • ctstc
      ctstc
      Bronze
      Joined: 09.11.2009 Posts: 6,280
      For the resteal stats you need a 3bet value, the PFR isn't enough.
      I don't think, that he is folding always 88 and 99, that wouldn't be good. But if you are stealing with Pocketpairs, you normally have to go broke with them, because you have a good equity against a restealing range.