[NL2-NL10] TT set on drawy board

    • Tilen1
      Tilen1
      Bronze
      Joined: 14.10.2008 Posts: 46
      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

      $0.1/$0.25 No-Limit Hold'em (8 handed)

      Known players:
      MP1:
      $38.92
      MP2 (Hero):
      $10.50
      MP3:
      $14.45
      CO:
      $30.07
      BU:
      $24.65
      SB:
      $25.00
      BB:
      $24.65
      UTG2:
      $20.56


      Preflop: Hero is MP2 with T, T.
      2 folds, Hero raises to $0.75, MP3 folds, CO calls $0.75, 3 folds, 2 folds, BB folds.

      Flop: ($1.85) T, J, K (2 players)
      Hero bets $1.00, CO calls $1.00.

      Turn: ($3.85) 3 (2 players)
      Hero checks, CO bets $1.50, Hero raises to $3.50, CO calls $2.00.

      River: ($10.85) A (2 players)
      Hero checks, CO bets $5.25, Hero ???

      CO is 22/7/8.7 vpip/pfr/af over 660 hands, his bet IP vs missed BC was 100%(2) so i went for check/raise on turn...probably should just check/push here.
      But as played, what would you do on the river?

      Thanks
  • 2 replies
    • JohnDoe1313
      JohnDoe1313
      Platinum
      Joined: 04.01.2011 Posts: 5,078
      Hi,

      imo you could bet more on flop. If he calls he has something like a pair + draw or pure draw. I expect two pair+ to raise. Btw you have a nice sample there. It would be nice to post his postflop stats, like AF, WTSD.

      So when he calls, he has something weak and is probably willing to see showdown or next card as cheap as possible. That's why I expect him to check back turn very often and I would play here bet/bet/bet unless a :spade: comes.
    • ctstc
      ctstc
      Bronze
      Joined: 09.11.2009 Posts: 6,280
      Hi,
      i would bet the flop bigger, and I never check the turn. If he has a :spade: he can check behind very often.
      I think my line would be bet, bet/fold on the Turn, and bet on the River here. The River is very ugly, but I don't think he calls a Q 2 times without a hit, and an Ax often makes 2pair and we can win the Pot.