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[NL2-NL10] AQo – OOP versus MP Raise from Unknown

    • Raknyo
      Raknyo
      Bronze
      Joined: 15.12.2011 Posts: 422
      PokerStars - $0.02 NL (6 max) ZOOM - Holdem - 6 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

      BTN: $2.98
      SB: $7.09
      Hero (BB): $3.26
      UTG: $7.92
      MP: $1.14
      CO: $1.89

      SB posts SB $0.01, Hero posts BB $0.02

      Pre Flop: (pot: $0.03) Hero has Q:club: A:spade:

      fold, MP raises to $0.06, fold, fold, fold, Hero calls $0.04

      Flop: ($0.13, 2 players) 6:diamond: K:spade: A:diamond:
      Hero checks, MP bets $0.10, Hero calls $0.10

      Turn: ($0.33, 2 players) J:diamond:
      Hero checks, MP bets $0.26, fold

      I find it easier just to 3-bet here most of the time but I was experimenting with different lines.

      PF: Not really what to do against an unknown here, AQ is strong but can I expect him to call with worse? I'd say I'm ahead of his opening but I don't even know for sure, I'm going to give him a range in Equilab and compare our equity against one another.

      Against standard opening range:
      Equity Win Tie
      MP3 49.19% 45.37% 3.83% { 22+, ATs+, KJs+, ATo+, KJo+ }
      BB 50.81% 46.98% 3.83% { AQo }

      Against tight opening range:
      Equity Win Tie
      MP3 52.85% 47.36% 5.49% { 66+, AJs+, KQs, AJo+, KQo }
      BB 47.15% 41.66% 5.49% { AQo }

      So even if I am ahead, it's likely not going to be by much so should I find a fold, seems too weak.

      However, I could probably gain a lot of fold equity if I raised here, both pre-flop and post-flop. I would just have to remember to be careful not to invest too much with a possibly dominated hand.

      As played:

      F: I check/call in order to keep to weaker aces in his hand range.

      T: Worst card in the deck, AJ overtakes me and he can have possible flush (draws) so I'm in real bad shape and find a fold.
  • 2 replies