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[NL2-NL10] NL10 set value

    • woodzzi
      Joined: 27.03.2011 Posts: 81
      PokerStars - $0.10 NL ZOOM - Holdem - 9 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

      BTN: $3.50
      SB: $11.88
      BB: $13.29
      UTG: $30.60
      UTG+1: $11.08
      Hero (UTG+2): $12.30
      MP: $11.63
      MP+1: $36.54
      CO: $5.68

      SB posts SB $0.05, BB posts BB $0.10

      Pre Flop: (pot: $0.15) Hero has 4:heart: 4:spade:

      fold, fold, Hero raises to $0.30, MP calls $0.30, fold, fold, fold, SB calls $0.25, BB calls $0.20

      Flop: ($1.20, 4 players) 6:club: 4:diamond: J:heart:
      SB checks, BB checks, Hero checks, MP checks

      Turn: ($1.20, 4 players) A:spade:
      SB bets $0.90, fold, Hero calls $0.90, MP calls $0.90

      River: ($3.90, 3 players) K:diamond:
      SB bets $2.05, Hero raises to $11.10 and is all-in, fold, SB calls $8.63 and is all-in

      Okay to use this line? I took QT out of his range and assumed he had two pair, is my shove +ev?
  • 1 reply
    • Tomaloc
      Joined: 17.01.2011 Posts: 7,020
      bet the flop yourself, no one's going to bluff.

      as played river is kinda interesting spot, let's ask equilab:

      Board: 6:club: 4:diamond: J:heart:  A:spade:  K:diamond:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      MP3    20.00%  20.00%   0.00% { 4h4s }
      CO     23.20%  23.20%   0.00% { JJ, 66, AKs, AJs, AKo }
      BU     56.80%  56.80%   0.00% { JJ, 66, AKs, AJs }

      sb should be more inclined to squeeze with AK and AJo type of hands, of course they both could have more AK/AJo but i don't think it's too likely.
      in any case it's actually quite thin value because twopair (specially AJ) may manage to find a fold vs a raise shove.

      being 3way i think i prefer to just call, as weak as it seems. with calling we might get a light call from mp and won't isolate against better. (fold to a mp shove)

      we could also do something like minraise/fold for thin value (doubt that we are going to be shoved on by AK). it feels pretty weird, but i also clearly feel that we shouldn't jeopardize our stack with bottom set in a 3way pot that once was a 4way pot. :f_biggrin: feel that calling is quite better though.

      [edit: improved quality, missed some details before ;( and a shameful misinput :facepalm: ]