[NL20-NL50] SH50 deep 88 ship it?

    • circoflax
      Joined: 26.02.2010 Posts: 413
      On Game, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      BB: $76.76 (153.5 bb)
      UTG: $49.68 (99.4 bb)
      MP: $54.27 (108.5 bb)
      Hero (CO): $148.64 (297.3 bb)
      BTN: $68.25 (136.5 bb)
      SB: $17.75 (35.5 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is CO with 8 8
      UTG folds, MP raises to $1.50, Hero calls $1.50, 2 folds, BB raises to $6.25, MP folds, Hero calls $4.75

      Flop: ($14.25) 2 4 T (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $7, BB calls $7

      Turn: ($28.25) 9 (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $14, BB calls $14

      River: ($56.25) 3 (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero ?

      Villain is decent, 23/16/3bet 6.3/3bet 4% against EP/WTSD 29/ W$SD 40/1k sample/ AF 2.
      The guy who opened was the target at the table, so I put villain on a value range when he 3bet OOP. The question is should I try to blow him of one heart that is not the A? Could he be trapping here? I think he would raise A :heart: K on the flop, but probably not A :heart: A, because he's aware I'm gonna try to steal it if he checks.

      Bet turn a little bigger so it's rather clear I'm shipping the river?
  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello circoflax,

      It's not really about villain here but also about your image on the table and what you guys have had earlier with him. Clearly if you shove the river you represent VERY NARROW range cause you only shove there A and that's pretty much it.

      Dependent on the dynamics and stuff we can adjust accordingly, though as you see the guy is really showdown happy. Therefore I am not sure if you going to even have enough of fold equity with the shove on the river cause he clearly may call you down even with Q/K or even looser.

      Best Regards.