[NL20-NL50] SH50 66 rivered set against aggro

    • circoflax
      circoflax
      Bronze
      Joined: 26.02.2010 Posts: 413
      On Game, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      SB: $104.15 (208.3 bb)
      BB: $19.75 (39.5 bb)
      UTG: $51.98 (104 bb)
      Hero (MP): $80.75 (161.5 bb)
      CO: $57.23 (114.5 bb)
      BTN: $88.02 (176 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is MP with 6 6
      UTG folds, Hero raises to $1.50, 2 folds, SB calls $1.25, BB folds

      Flop: ($3.50) Q 3 2 (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $2.50, SB calls $2.50

      Turn: ($8.50) 9 (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero checks

      River: ($8.50) 6 (2 players)
      SB bets $5, Hero raises to $15, SB raises to $44, Hero ?


      Villain is very aggressive and new to me, he was playing something like 35/27 at the moment over a sample of 150 hands, so not very relevant. AF 5/ WTSD 29/ W$SD 36. W$SD is on the low side as I have won several pots against him after this hand was played, I don't remember what it was at the time. Also his vpip/pfr went down to 28/21 by the end of the session. (120 hands more)

      45 is in his range and so is 99, but I don't think he would reraise 99 as 45 is clearly in my range too. Could he be putting me on a bluff and trying to take it away? My hand is so concealed and I was sincerely expecting to get called here almost 100% of the time, since the way I played the hand didn't really make any sense and looks so much like a bluff.
  • 3 replies
    • dzikson999
      dzikson999
      Bronze
      Joined: 17.08.2010 Posts: 532
      I would just call beeing deep and he could have 99 and i dont know would 22,33 call on such action..
    • circoflax
      circoflax
      Bronze
      Joined: 26.02.2010 Posts: 413
      The only value hands I'm beating are 22, 33 and Q9. I don't think he would be 3betting Q9 a lot on the river, and the other two would probably raise the flop. I think I'm against 45 a lot and some bluffs.
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello circoflax,

      Shoving obviously would be overplaying our hand on the river. Clearly not many Q9 hands raise this way on the river for value cause our range is also full of strong made hands or total air. So only option is calling, though do we beat much?

      As you said he is capable of bluffing so if we also add bluffs into his range I don't see how I am able to fold it there.

      Though what I'd ask is it even a good idea to CB the flop if he is aggressive? What was your plan if he Check/Raises you. Cause clearly he is capable of doing that.

      Best Regards.