[NL2-NL10] 0.05 NL Pocket Aces

    • prime333
      Joined: 14.05.2012 Posts: 400
      PokerStars - $0.05 NL - Holdem - 8 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

      SB: $3.71
      BB: $1.73
      UTG: $4.67
      UTG+1: $12.72
      MP: $3.75
      MP+1: $2.94
      Hero (CO): $5.44
      BTN: $6.57

      SB posts SB $0.02, BB posts BB $0.05

      Pre Flop: (pot: $0.07) Hero has A:heart: A:spade:

      fold, fold, MP raises to $0.20, MP+1 calls $0.20, Hero raises to $1.00, fold, fold, fold, MP calls $0.80, fold

      Flop: ($2.27, 2 players) 8:spade: J:heart: 9:club:
      MP bets $2.75 and is all-in, Hero calls $2.75

      Turn: ($7.77, 2 players) A:diamond:

      River: ($7.77, 2 players) Q:diamond:
      MP shows 8:heart: 9:diamond: (Two Pair, Nines and Eights) (Pre 18%, Flop 73%, Turn 0%)Hero shows A:heart: A:spade: (Three of a Kind, Aces) (Pre 82%, Flop 27%, Turn 100%)Hero wins $7.45

      Was it ok to call flop MP was fishy. I did have a feeling I was out flopped but not too much to call if he was deep stack I fold.
  • 2 replies
    • Tidway442
      Joined: 22.02.2012 Posts: 20
      This was a bad call. If you thought you were out flopped you should have folded. His bet of $2.75 is a large one. It's 55BB you'd only invested 20BB and it's and overbet. Here's the math behind it anyway.

      Once he has gone all in the pot is $5.02. You need to call $2.75 making the potential pot $7.77 that means you are calling 35.39% of the pot and therefore need an equity of at least 35.39% to make this call justifiable.

      If you assume he has the cards he has, bottom two pair (and I assume thats the least he will shove with here) then your equity is only 27.07%. If you assume he has bottom set then your equity is only about 11%. And of course a straight gives you even less only 3-4% . So mathematically it was an incorrect call.
    • Kaitz20
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343

      I would say it is standard call in 3-bet pot. It is hard to put someone two pair or better if they decide to shove on the flop. I would put them more often JT type hands that has a lot of outs, also I don´t think it is unreasonable to think he would shove there just Tx hands or pure bluff.
      You just run top of your range but luckily sucked out on the turn :)

      That does not make it bad call, since it is very hard to put NL 5 midstack into better made hand and make correct laydown sometimes unless you have played him thousands of hands and even then I would likely not fold that spot aces.

      In the end you would have made a bigger mistake if you have folded and he have showed you 5h4h

      best regards,