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[NL2-NL10] AJ - Problem with Range

    • mateuszrybinski
      Joined: 20.02.2012 Posts: 78
      PokerStars - $0.02 NL - Holdem - 8 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

      MP+1: $1.85
      CO: $2.00
      BTN: $1.41
      SB: $1.98
      Hero (BB): $2.05
      UTG: $1.22
      UTG+1: $1.55
      MP: $1.60

      SB posts SB $0.01, Hero posts BB $0.02, CO posts DB $0.02

      Pre Flop: (pot: $0.05) Hero has J:club: A:club:

      Note: With odds of 8,5:1 I belive that AJs are nice card to invest.

      UTG raises to $0.04, fold, fold, MP+1 calls $0.04, fold, BTN calls $0.04, fold, Hero calls $0.02

      Flop: ($0.19, 4 players) K:heart: Q:spade: 6:club:

      Note: The flop is very nice. it's a nice draw with 9 outs and no flash risk. So with a strong draw I bet 50%. two people call and one reraise giving me odds of 3.5:1 to call. Even if I need 4:1(OESD and backdoor flashdraw) to call I have nice implied odds. I call and someone reaises all-in.

      It's $3.19 in the pot and I will have the best hand of any T or 2 comes on the turn or river. I get 2.93:1 to call and I put my opponents on 66,AJs,KQs,JTs,AJo,KQo,JTo to go all-in.

      My odds are 2.93:1 (25%) and my equity is 23.9% so it is a bad call to call?

      Hero bets $0.09, UTG calls $0.09, MP+1 calls $0.09, BTN raises to $0.30, Hero calls $0.21, UTG raises to $1.18 and is all-in, fold, BTN raises to $1.37 and is all-in, Hero calls $1.07

      Turn: ($4.20, 3 players) 7:heart:

      River: ($4.20, 3 players) 3:diamond:

      Hero shows J:club: A:club: (High Card, Ace) (Pre 34%, Flop 17%, Turn 10%)
      BTN shows Q:club: K:club: (Two Pair, Kings and Queens) (Pre 31%, Flop 17%, Turn 10%)
      UTG shows 6:heart: 6:spade: (Three of a Kind, Sixes) (Pre 34%, Flop 65%, Turn 81%)
      BTN wins $0.36
      UTG wins $3.69
  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello mateuszrybinski,

      Unfortunately mate you are overplaying your hand. :( GS may look super-nice but it doesn't hit that often and you can't do it profitable here. You should just Check/Fold it or either Check it and take a look how good your odds are.

      Best Regards.