# [NL2-NL10] NL10 6max, 77, set 3barrel vs R raise

• Bronze
Joined: 17.08.2008
\$10.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players

MP: \$15.89 - VPIP: 28, PFR: 16, 3B: 12, AF: 1.8, Hands: 101
CO: \$32.44 - VPIP: 32, PFR: 21, 3B: 0, AF: 1.7, Hands: 34
BTN: \$10.00 - VPIP: 18, PFR: 17, 3B: 10, AF: 1.9, Hands: 276
SB: \$31.61 - VPIP: 47, PFR: 32, 3B: 0, AF: Infinity, Hands: 34
BB: \$10.17 - VPIP: 17, PFR: 11, 3B: 8, AF: Infinity, Hands: 18
Hero (UTG): \$14.01

Pre Flop: (\$0.15) Hero is UTG with 7 7
Hero raises to \$0.30, MP calls \$0.30, 4 folds

Flop: (\$0.75) 3 K 7 (2 players)
Hero bets \$0.50, MP calls \$0.50

Turn: (\$1.75) 5 (2 players)
Hero bets \$1.50, MP calls \$1.50

River: (\$4.75) 9 (2 players)
Hero bets \$3.80, MP raises to \$13.59, Hero calls \$7.91 or folds?

River:
I need 28% equity to break even.
On the Turn Villain probably folds out 79s and 99, so I think he will have
at least a Kx hand here. Something mid strenght,
because he calls, but set for ex. would/could raise.
So, he picks up equity on the river.
Question is if he has only KQs, KJs in his preflop flatting range or also Hands like K8s+.
I assume that only Khxh raise River from all Kx hands.

Here are 2 examples:
1. Villain has K8s +
Equity Win Tie
MP2 33.33% 33.33% 0.00% 7s7c
MP3 66.67% 66.67% 0.00% K9s, KhQh, KhJh, KhTh, Kh8h

I'm slightly +EV, let's say it's 0EV. [28% vs 33%]

2. Villain has KQs, KJs
So, I'm dead. Zero equity, when he folds or calls Kx hands without a flush,
but raises Khxh.

Conclusion:
- If 0EV is the best outcome from a call, then fold is a better alternative, also 0EV, but less variance.
- Don't hope for a K9s hand., think about preflop flatting ranges. Even weak TAG's won't flat K6s, for ex.
- Might be interesting to use x/r AI on turn, but this OP might not be a floater type, seemed passive.

PS. Maybe even AhKh.