[NL2-NL10] NL10 6max, A6s, BUvSB, 2pair vs x/r

    • Anger86
      Anger86
      Bronze
      Joined: 17.08.2008 Posts: 511
      $10.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players

      UTG: $14.79 - VPIP: 17, PFR: 16, 3B: 6, AF: 5.7, Hands: 715
      MP: $4.40 - VPIP: 18, PFR: 18, 3B: 30, AF: 0.0, Hands: 33
      CO: $4.00 - VPIP: 26, PFR: 26, 3B: 13, AF: 3.3, Hands: 108
      Hero (BTN): $11.83
      SB: $15.55 - VPIP: 21, PFR: 13, 3B: 10, AF: 0.7, Hands: 53
      BB: $3.59 - VPIP: 28, PFR: 2, 3B: 6, AF: 1.2, Hands: 43

      Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero is BTN with A :spade: 6 :spade:
      3 folds, Hero raises to $0.25, SB calls $0.20, 1 fold

      Flop: ($0.60) 8 :diamond: 6 :club: A :club: (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $0.40, SB raises to $1.40, Hero raises to $4, SB raises to $15.30, Hero calls $7.58 all in

      Turn: ($23.76) K :heart: (2 players - 1 is all in)

      River: ($23.76) K :club: (2 players - 1 is all in)


      Villain is unknown. Way too small sample.
      So here are analysis, where villain flats wider range of hands, like SC and suited gappers.
      Equity Win Tie
      MP2 53.06% 48.52% 4.54% As6s
      MP3 46.94% 42.40% 4.54% 88, 66, AQs, A8s, A6s, 86s, AdJd, Tc9c, Tc8c, 9c8c, 9c7c, 8c7c, 7c6c, 7c5c, 5c4c, AQo

      Or without gappers:
      Equity Win Tie
      MP2 51.16% 45.71% 5.45% As6s
      MP3 48.84% 43.39% 5.45% 88, 66, AQs, A8s, A6s, AdJd, Tc9c, 9c8c, 8c7c, 7c6c, 5c4c, AQo


      Conclusion:
      - One of the better hands in BU vs SB play.
      - Just bet/3bet alone vs FD is OK, so I protect my hand.
      - I'm super aggro, so I might see there more TP hands.
      - I would rather have a draw here anyway, sine I can have more outs vs sets.
      - Another option would be to bet/call Flop, then JAM turn vs FD or some bluffs. (When flush card comes, then though.)
  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello Anger86,

      Well, as you see yourself it's still kinda break-even for you. :P You ain't having a huge equity advantage and nor we might even have to discard some of the hands. I'd be even playing it way ahead/behind and reevaluate the turn maybe even.

      His Check/Raise size is also towards a bit stronger which may indicate stronger hands.

      Best Regards.