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[NL20-NL50] [SH] NL50 JJ 3bet pot

    • duder1n0
      Joined: 07.07.2009 Posts: 5,335
      Prima, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 4 Players

      CO: $51.74 (103.5 bb)
      BTN: $49.91 (99.8 bb)
      SB: $58.51 (117 bb)
      Hero (BB): $124.97 (249.9 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BB with J J
      CO raises to $1, 2 folds, Hero raises to $4.50, CO calls $3.50

      Flop: ($9.25) 4 8 7 (2 players)
      Hero bets $5, CO calls $5

      Turn: ($19.25) 5 (2 players)
      Hero bets $9, CO calls $9

      River: ($37.25) 8 (2 players)
      Hero checks, CO bets $18.50, Hero folds

      Anon table.

      I had only a couple of hands on Villain, but looked fishy so far.

      Turn bet is already marginal, but maybe he could call with weaker sometimes (8x/99/TT/T9 mainly), but I dont think he would bluff or bet weaker too often on the river if I check, so I ch/folded.
  • 3 replies
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779
      Check fold turn not even close
      Ur equity on turn against his flop calling range shuld be below 50% and his turn betting range crushes urs. I cf aa too since its relative hand strength is almost the same
    • ttjjboy
      Joined: 31.05.2009 Posts: 4,205
      is it a little bit tight to just check fold turn?

      Originally posted by mbml
      Ur equity on turn against his flop calling range shuld be below 50%

      what should we put him on after his calling otf?

      i think there r still a lot 99 TT KdQd AdQd 9Ts
      even i put 44,55,66,77,88 in (which i dunt think there r too many such hands in a 3bet calling range)

      JJ seems still good...
      any suggestions?
      board:: 4c8h7d
      win draw
      MP2 31.12% 30.67% 0.45% { TT-55, T9s, AdQd, KdQd }
      MP3 68.88% 68.43% 0.45% { JdJc }
      board:: 4c8h7d5d

      MP2 50.96% 48.28% 2.69% { TT-55, T9s, AdQd, KdQd }
      MP3 49.04% 46.35% 2.69% { JdJc }
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello pcfmcc02,

      We don't need exactly 50% to make it profitable for us on the turn. Whilst we may also assume he may have even something like 98s/T9s type of holdings in his range, I'd be willing to 2nd barrel the turn and do it mainly by planning to Check/Fold the river.

      Best Regards.