[NL20-NL50] NL25: AKo fold vs squeeze?

    • Avatars91
      Avatars91
      Bronze
      Joined: 18.12.2009 Posts: 2,689
      Poker Stars $25.00 No Limit Hold'em - 5 players - View hand 1971902
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      Hero (BTN): $27.04 - VPIP: 21, PFR: 18, 3B: 5, AF: 4,8, Hands: 90087
      SB: $54.02 - VPIP: 37, PFR: 3, 3B: 0, AF: 1,5, Hands: 30
      BB: $26.97 - VPIP: 25, PFR: 16, 3B: 8, AF: 6,0, Hands: 61
      UTG: $17.72 - VPIP: 25, PFR: 18, 3B: 0, AF: 0,7, Hands: 40
      CO: $25.00 - VPIP: 19, PFR: 14, 3B: 2, AF: 4,0, Hands: 146

      Pre Flop: ($0.35) Hero is BTN with K :diamond: A :club:
      2 folds, Hero raises to $0.75, SB calls $0.65, BB raises to $2.75, 2 folds

      SB is a loose-passive fish. BB looks like a reg.

      May we find a call here with these odds?
      We have position + odds + dominate his AJ-AQ that may 3Bet for value + the fish may call with hands that we dominate.
  • 3 replies
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello Avatars91,

      I'd really eager to earn about the part "odds". :) What is the plan once we hit our TP? You think you are going to be safe and can easily go broke?

      Best Regards.
    • Avatars91
      Avatars91
      Bronze
      Joined: 18.12.2009 Posts: 2,689
      I'd really eager to earn about the part "odds".


      Villain's 3Bet is somewhat on the smaller size given the fact that he is OOP + there is a coldcaller fish in the hand. We are getting roughly 2:1. And we are doing quite well HU vs his 3Bet range, even if it is a pure value range:


             Equity     Win     Tie
      MP2    54.60%  44.51%  10.09% { AKo }
      MP3    45.40%  35.31%  10.09% { JJ+, AQs+, AJo+ }


      If the fish joins in with an even weaker range very often, we ought to be rather happy, no?

      What is the plan once we hit our TP? You think you are going to be safe and can easily go broke?


      I am going to play carefully for pot control with TP vs both guys if they show aggression. I think I should be able to call 2 streets as the reg may be valuebetting weaker pairs vs me.
      Though it is true that at least vs the reg there doesn't seem to be that much value around.
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      And how you imagine playing for pot control when the pot already on the flop is $9? :P So you are not able to play pot control which means any TP = broke for you. :) Willing to do that?