[NL20-NL50] nl25sh - AQo vs fish OOP

    • Farmarchist
      Farmarchist
      Bronze
      Joined: 27.12.2010 Posts: 14,640
      Hey,

      Villain had 80% foldtocbet.

      1. Because of his foldtocbet I'm planning to bet flop and check/fold turn if I don't improve. Allright?

      2. What do we do if he has only 40-50% foldtocbet? I guess I would be firing 2 barrels. Okay?

      Poker Stars $25.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 1979060
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      UTG: $35.12 - VPIP: 15, PFR: 11, 3B: 7, AF: 0.0, Hands: 46
      MP: $43.19 - VPIP: 23, PFR: 19, 3B: 7, AF: 5.5, Hands: 172
      CO: $9.40 - VPIP: 30, PFR: 11, 3B: 0, AF: 0.5, Hands: 27
      BTN: $32.42 - VPIP: 43, PFR: 8, 3B: 7, AF: 3.0, Hands: 51
      Hero (SB): $29.43 - VPIP: 17, PFR: 14, 3B: 6, AF: 3.6, Hands: 527207
      BB: $25.35 - VPIP: 25, PFR: 17, 3B: 9, AF: 0.3, Hands: 65

      Pre Flop: ($0.35) Hero is SB with A :diamond: Q :club:
      3 folds, BTN calls $0.25, Hero raises to $1.50, 1 fold, BTN calls $1.25

      Flop: ($3.25) 9 :diamond: 7 :club: 5 :spade: (2 players)
      Hero bets $2.00, BTN raises to $4, Hero folds
  • 2 replies
    • duder1n0
      duder1n0
      Gold
      Joined: 07.07.2009 Posts: 5,317
      Sample is small, so 80% foldtocbet doesnt mean much.

      This board hits his limp/call range quite well (PPs/JT/T9/98/87/76/etc.), so we dont stand very good equitywise, and as you wrote we have only our overs to hit for barreling, so I'd rather ch/fold.
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello Farmarchist,

      As said above, 51 hands and sample? :P You must have a leak in reading stats if you really take into consideration such stats. Therefore while it's kinda connected we prefer to Check/Fold the board instead.

      Best Regards.