[NL2-NL10] NL4SH 99 topset

    • muel294
      muel294
      Bronze
      Joined: 06.06.2009 Posts: 1,207
      Worst case scenario:

      Board: 8:club: 9:club: 7:club:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      BU     33.49%  32.01%   1.47% { 9h9s }
      SB     66.51%  65.04%   1.47% { JTs, T6s, 65s, AcKc, AcQc, KcQc, AcJc, KcJc, QcJc, AcTc, KcTc, QcTc, Ac6c, Kc6c, Ac5c, Kc5c, Ac4c, Kc4c, 6c4c, 5c4c, Ac3c, Kc3c, Ac2c, Kc2c, JTo, 65o }



      I think I need something like 31% equity here don't I?

      Needed equity:
      Equity = (amount to call) : (total pot AFTER we call)
      E* = 2.75/8.62 = 0.31 x 100 = 31%

      I think if he plays this way with 77/88 then maybe my play is profitable. Otherwise I think it's close, therefore I think I should fold against such a player. I don't think he plays this way with any draw.

      PartyGaming - $0.04 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

      BB: $5.64
      UTG: $3.55
      MP: $8.07
      CO: $4.25
      Hero (BTN): $4.09
      SB: $4.50 30/21/2/11/30/544 hands - LP

      SB posts SB $0.02, BB posts BB $0.04

      Pre Flop: (pot: $0.06) Hero has 9:spade: 9:heart:

      UTG raises to $0.12, fold, fold, Hero calls $0.12, SB calls $0.10, fold

      Flop: ($0.40, 3 players) 8:club: 9:club: 7:club:
      SB checks, UTG bets $0.28, Hero raises to $1.22, SB raises to $4.38 and is all-in, fold, Hero calls $2.75 and is all-in

      Turn: ($8.62, 2 players) A:spade:

      River: ($8.62, 2 players) Q:heart:

      Hero shows 9:spade: 9:heart: (Three of a Kind, Nines) (Pre 67%, Flop 38%, Turn 23%)
      SB shows T:diamond: 6:diamond: (Straight, Ten High) (Pre 33%, Flop 62%, Turn 77%)
      SB wins $0.00
      SB wins $8.19
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