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[NL20-NL50] NL25: J2 questionable river J high call? :)

    • Avatars91
      Avatars91
      Bronze
      Joined: 18.12.2009 Posts: 2,689
      Poker Stars $25.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 1982589
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      SB: $25.00 - VPIP: 25, PFR: 25, 3B: 0, AF: 0,0, Hands: 4
      Hero (BB): $25.63 - VPIP: 21, PFR: 18, 3B: 5, AF: 4,8, Hands: 90087
      UTG: $25.70 - VPIP: 23, PFR: 18, 3B: 7, AF: 3,7, Hands: 363
      MP: $9.09 - VPIP: 16, PFR: 0, 3B: 0, AF: 10,0, Hands: 56
      CO: $25.00 - VPIP: 13, PFR: 11, 3B: 3, AF: 1,6, Hands: 80
      BTN: $10.85 - VPIP: 54, PFR: 25, 3B: 7, AF: 3,1, AFq: 58, Hands: 52

      Pre Flop: ($0.35) Hero is BB with 2 :diamond: J :heart:
      3 folds, BTN calls $0.25, 1 fold, Hero checks

      Flop: ($0.60) K :club: T :club: 6 :club: (2 players)
      Hero checks, BTN checks

      Turn: ($0.60) T :heart: (2 players)
      Hero checks, BTN checks

      River: ($0.60) K :diamond: (2 players)
      Hero checks, BTN bets $0.50, Hero calls $0.50

      I thought that he is unlikely to have either Tx or Kx because of his passive flop+turn play and I also thought that he would be rather happy to check down with Ahigh or Qhigh and for that reason I put him mostly on a bluff and sometimes on a thin valuebet with JJ or QQ (though these hands I would expect him to raise preflop with) especially with a small PP that has lost all its value on the river.
      How bad is the call here exactly? I guess that I can't tell for sure that he is not randomly betting Ax or even Qx in this spot and because of that I likely should have just played it safe.
  • 1 reply