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[NL2-NL10] 55 set thinking about folding the flop

    • cozacu
      Joined: 14.02.2010 Posts: 1,379
      $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Holdem
      6 Players
      Hand Conversion Powered by

      UTG ($11.44) 114bb
      cozacu (UTG+1) ($10.19) 102bb
      CO ($11.39) 114bb
      BTN ($12.78) 128bb
      SB ($12.75) 128bb
      BB ($12.44) 124bb

      Pre-Flop: ($0.15, 6 players) cozacu is UTG+1 5:club: 5:spade:
      1 fold, cozacu raises to $0.30, 3 folds, BB calls $0.20

      Flop: 5:diamond: 9:diamond: 6:heart: ($0.55, 2 players)
      BB checks, cozacu bets $0.42, BB raises to $1.50, cozacu raises to $4.42, BB goes all-in $10.64, cozacu goes all-in $5.47

      Turn: 10:club: ($20.33, 2 players, 2 all-in)

      River: 8:club: ($20.33, 2 players, 2 all-in)

      Final Pot: $20.33
      cozacu shows
      5:club: 5:spade:
      BB shows
      9:club: 9:spade:

      BB wins $21.66 (net +$9.32)

      cozacu lost $10.19

      villain 22/17 af 2.7 cbet 62 ftcbet 0 wtsd 29% (0.0 3bet) 122

      Flop: after he raises my cbet i really though about rasing maybe less to be able to fold vs a push because a push would most likely just come from a better set or 87, i don't really think he is playing like this a FD, or that he would slow play PF AA,KK...

      After i got to show down to see set vs overset ofc i said i was right, but i don't want to be results oriented.

      Did i make the right play here? I think i just did not have enough info on villain to decide on a critical re`raise/fold flop with bottom set :|
  • 3 replies
    • PhoenixPhreak
      Joined: 15.04.2011 Posts: 335
      Well, there are only 3 ways villain could make 99. 87s would be 4 ways, and I don't know how to rule out something like TT, or JJ. It makes sense that they would have more preflop aggression with QQ+. But versus a range including 99-JJ and 87s, I think it is a must bet. If the villain could ever play even just TT,99,and87s this way, you are ahead...
      But if the villain will never play anything but a set or made straight this way, it is clearly a must fold.
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello cozacu,

      Does speak against your assumptions. I mean if you don't think that he is raising with FD then what do you expect to see here? Against what you going to be ahead? :) Clearly he can't have 2pairs cause he ain't most likely calling with something like 96.

      Best Regards.
    • cozacu
      Joined: 14.02.2010 Posts: 1,379
      So correct play would be re`raise smaller/fold to shove? Some overpair could still be in his range? Slowplayed AA,KK