[NL20-NL50] NL25sh - AKs vs nitty guy

    • Farmarchist
      Farmarchist
      Bronze
      Joined: 27.12.2010 Posts: 14,640
      well he looks nitty so far ;)

      So, what about the flop? I think this is a flop where people won't slowplay so I bet to take up the pot.

      He calls and I think he could have a pocket pair or FD so I bet turn.

      What is best here?

      Poker Stars $25.00 No Limit Hold'em - 5 players - View hand 1990349
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      Hero (BTN): $26.00 - VPIP: 17, PFR: 14, 3B: 6, AF: 3.6, Hands: 528498
      SB: $9.75 - VPIP: 27, PFR: 27, 3B: 0, AF: 0.0, Hands: 11
      BB: $33.33 - VPIP: 22, PFR: 18, 3B: 3, AF: 4.5, Hands: 405
      UTG: $23.73 - VPIP: 18, PFR: 18, 3B: 0, AF: 0.0, Hands: 11
      CO: $30.19 - VPIP: 15, PFR: 13, 3B: 4, AF: 0.0, Hands: 53

      Pre Flop: ($0.35) Hero is BTN with K :spade: A :spade:
      1 fold, CO raises to $0.75, Hero calls $0.75, 2 folds

      Flop: ($1.85) T :heart: 2 :diamond: 9 :diamond: (2 players)
      CO checks, Hero bets $1.25, CO calls $1.25

      Turn: ($4.35) 3 :club: (2 players)
      CO checks, Hero bets $3.00, CO calls $3

      River: ($10.35) 4 :club: (2 players)
      CO checks, Hero checks
  • 9 replies
    • Tomaloc
      Tomaloc
      Bronze
      Joined: 17.01.2011 Posts: 6,858
      i like to just give up and hope A high good, our checking down equity is probably not too good but fine enough. :f_biggrin:

      else i think this can be a float 3barrel spot, he doesn't have the nuts. :f_biggrin:
    • duder1n0
      duder1n0
      Gold
      Joined: 07.07.2009 Posts: 5,317
      It's just 50 hands, rather 3bet preflop BTN vs CO.
    • yougotfelted51
      yougotfelted51
      Bronze
      Joined: 04.02.2010 Posts: 1,276
      3bet pre or just bet/bet/bet when checked to. i feel like once he check/calls flop he is almost always check/calling the turn, and therefore we should either give up turn or bet turn and river
    • Farmarchist
      Farmarchist
      Bronze
      Joined: 27.12.2010 Posts: 14,640
      I thought:

      1) If he had a FD or SD, I win a good percentage of the time with AK high
      2) If he has like 9J he can always herocall me now the FD missed
    • yougotfelted51
      yougotfelted51
      Bronze
      Joined: 04.02.2010 Posts: 1,276
      i dont think he has a fd here often/ever here. the thing is that due to villain's fairly tight range, pretty much all of his fds will have either overs, be the nfd, or a straight draw (gutter/oesd). since these hands will likely always cbet flop/turn, i highly doubt villain has fd.

      i would imagine all overpairs/Tx/sets/two pairs cbet flop, with 9x cbetting some to most of the time. that leaves random straight draws, pps 33-88, maybe overcards like AQ/AJ, and some 9x.

      on river we beat sds, all overcards, but not pps 55-88 and some 9x.

      by betting we fold out pretty much all the hands we beat, but we also fold out 55-88 quite often, and even 9x some of the time. so i think when we barrel turn we should almost always barrel this particular river.

      what'd villain end up showing?
    • Farmarchist
      Farmarchist
      Bronze
      Joined: 27.12.2010 Posts: 14,640
      Yeah I agree :) Nice

      Q9s
    • yougotfelted51
      yougotfelted51
      Bronze
      Joined: 04.02.2010 Posts: 1,276
      i doubt he folds that particular hand. but i think a river bet does well to fold out most of his range there. too bad he has Q9 :(
    • Tomaloc
      Tomaloc
      Bronze
      Joined: 17.01.2011 Posts: 6,858
      yeah, i doubt villain has a draw. he almost definitely has a bluffcatcher

      whether he folds Q9 in that spot you can't know until you bet and find out. :f_biggrin:
      if he calls it's still okay for image, then add some barrels with good top pairs later
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello Farmarchist,

      Preflop: Could 3bet it for value here as well.

      As played
      Postflop: Don't really get why would you try to get him fold better hands? Whatever he has and is better than yours he ain't folding. :P Everything he folds you have him beat with AK.

      Best Regards.