[NL2-NL10] NL4 FR 101112 - A9o pair folding river

    • faronel
      faronel
      Bronze
      Joined: 13.07.2011 Posts: 1,186
      PartyGaming - $0.04 NL - Holdem - 6 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 3

      MP: $7.64
      Hero (CO): $4.00
      BTN: $4.21
      SB: $4.00
      BB: $5.21
      UTG: $4.06

      SB posts SB $0.02, BB posts BB $0.04

      Pre Flop: ($0.06) Hero has 9:diamond: A:club:

      fold, fold, Hero raises to $0.16, BTN calls $0.16, SB calls $0.14, fold

      Flop: ($0.52, 3 players) K:heart: A:diamond: 7:spade:
      SB checks, Hero bets $0.37, BTN calls $0.37, fold

      Turn: ($1.26, 2 players) 4:heart:
      Hero bets $0.80, BTN calls $0.80

      River: ($2.86, 2 players) 8:heart:
      Hero checks, BTN bets $0.50, fold

      BTN wins $2.72

      19/7/3 -400h,
      cc LP 15%,
      fold to cbet f 43%
      fold to cbet turn 100%

      river?
  • 4 replies
    • CPallo
      CPallo
      Bronze
      Joined: 12.04.2012 Posts: 4,343
      I guess this is a fold, even if we have good prize for calling. Guess we can't beat him, he might have hit better 2pairs, even flush comes there. And that bet just seems like to scream for a call..
    • boozaf
      boozaf
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.12.2009 Posts: 140
      The bet on the river does seems like a bait BUT can easily be a weak bluff. Many guys in these limits are afraid to bluff/value bet big so they bet small in spots like these due to uncertainty.

      Besides, you should consider with what hands he would flat call preflop and call flop:

      AA/KK/AK/AQ seems almost impossible to me.

      AJ/AT are possible but improbable since these hands are easily dominated; still, villain could not be aware of that.

      A8, A7 and A4 are really weak aces to be flat calling with so I doubt villain would be doing that.

      The only and most logical hand against which you're behind is 77.

      He could have a runner flush, but my guess is that he's got any Kx hand.
    • CPallo
      CPallo
      Bronze
      Joined: 12.04.2012 Posts: 4,343
      400hands and so far he hasn't continue from turn, so guess he has at least better Ace, but never air there, IMO.
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      BTN called with another player left behind so he is more likely to have an Ax than anything else.

      There are very few draws that he can call with. The turn bet may also be too thin because there isn't much worse that can call us. So you can consider ck/folding turn.

      If he checks back the turn he is less likely to have a better hand (Although AT and AJ may still check) so we can play the river from there (bet small on river or just ck/fold).