
01.07.2008, 14:19

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This post has been edited 2 time(s), it was last edited by Velak: 01.07.2008 14:39.
well, I don't know the exact numbers off the top of my head, but let's say heads up, with AA, you're an 85% favorite. Against 2 people, it may be like 70%.
So, 85% of the time, you'll win heads up.
So, let's say you're deep into a tournament, and there's significant money difference between where you are, and the next position. I person enters the pot all in before you, and gets called..and the situation is such that one will knock the other out, to move you up in money.
You have 100% chance of making the next money position, if you let one of them knock the other out, and about a 30% chance of tripling one of them up, if you jump in with them and play your aces.
In a case like that, I'd fold the aces. But I'd assume a situation like this comes up rarely enough so as not to consider it, in a normal situation.
I was just stating that there may (rarely) exist times when it could be considered "correct, strategic play" to fold aces preflop, but.. the first hand in tournament with a great chance of quintupling up, isn't one of 'em, IMHO.