[NL2-NL10] NL25 99 flop OESD, shove?

    • mrjorisa
      mrjorisa
      Bronze
      Joined: 30.03.2008 Posts: 200
      Known players:
      Position:
      Stack
      BU:
      $25.00
      MP2:
      $26.75
      MP1:
      $6.20
      BB:
      $35.20
      SB:
      $10.10
      Hero:
      $5.25
      CO:
      $29.30
      UTG+2:
      $4.90

      0.1/0.25 No-Limit Hold'em (8 handed)
      Hand recorder used for this poker hand: PokerStrategy Elephant 0.54 by www.pokerstrategy.com.

      Preflop: Hero is MP3 with 9:diamond: , 9:spade:
      UTG+2 calls $0.25, 2 folds, Hero raises to $1.25, 4 folds, UTG+2 calls $1.00.

      Flop: ($2.85) T:club: , 8:spade: , J:heart: (2 players)
      UTG+2 checks, Hero bets $4.00 (All-In), UTG+2 calls $3.65, Hero gets uncalled bet back..

      Turn: ($10.15) J:diamond:
      River: ($10.15) 4:heart:


      Final Pot: $10.15
  • 4 replies
    • DeKuip
      DeKuip
      Bronze
      Joined: 07.03.2008 Posts: 10,966
      Nice hand.
      Normal cbet would be around $2, which is half of your stack. That combined with your OESD is an easy push.
    • dallievas
      dallievas
      Bronze
      Joined: 30.11.2007 Posts: 822
      Nice hand,ugly flop but still OESD+pair is EV+ 56% vs 43% .I would not add much FE in this case.
      Good luck :)
    • 098799
      098799
      Bronze
      Joined: 23.07.2007 Posts: 1,245
      Hi mrjorisa,

      I'm glad you posted stats, though they don't really help us here because of the small sample. Still, I'd like to discuss what would such stats mean in longer run.

      UTG+2 is 15/13 and still he limps from utg. There are 2% of the hands he likes to play that way but we have no idea what these hands are. Normall people limp with hands they don't raise but don't yet fold, so weaker than raising ones, but is it right here? 2% may stand for some low pockets he does not feel like raising (especially from ep) but wants to limp for set value. Since you're having more than that, push.

      Oh, so I jumped directly to the conclusion, since I was also offering you the push even without the stats because they (again, so we remember) aren't helpfull here because of the small sample.


      Oh, btw: 2% may also be AA-KK he want's to slowplay pf ;) if that's the case, note him and watch out ;)
    • mrjorisa
      mrjorisa
      Bronze
      Joined: 30.03.2008 Posts: 200
      thanks a lot for the replies. really helped me understand what i should do in future in similar situations next time :)