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[NL20-NL50] [FR] NL50 AJs 10.11.2012.

    • HansTheGreat
      Joined: 14.02.2010 Posts: 3,808
      Party Poker $50.00 No Limit Hold'em - 7 players - View hand 1996548
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      BB: $45.11 - VPIP: 37, PFR: 10, 3B: 0, AF: 1,0, Hands: 73
      UTG: $17.71 - VPIP: 14, PFR: 13, 3B: 7, AF: 2,7, Hands: 1731
      UTG+1: $19.99 - VPIP: 11, PFR: 11, 3B: 5, AF: 5,9, Hands: 19987
      MP: $19.50 - VPIP: 28, PFR: 6, 3B: 0, AF: 4,0, Hands: 50
      CO: $49.25 - VPIP: 45, PFR: 25, 3B: 0, AF: 2,8, Hands: 53
      BTN: $97.07 - VPIP: 14, PFR: 11, 3B: 4, AF: 2,6, Hands: 608
      Hero (SB): $53.91 - VPIP: 22, PFR: 18, 3B: 7, AF: 4,2, Hands: 6442

      Pre Flop: ($0.75) Hero is SB with J :heart: A :heart:
      4 folds, BTN raises to $1, Hero raises to $4, 1 fold, BTN raises to $9, Hero raises to $17, BTN calls $8

      Flop: ($34.50) 7 :diamond: 3 :diamond: 6 :heart: (2 players)
      Hero bets $11.91, BTN folds

      This a hand that describes me pretty well.
      I have a decent hand and I 3bet. The problem starts the second when I think there is a huge chance that he is gonna 4bet me sooner or later since I 3bet him in the last 3 orbits 3 times. And bamm then it comes the 4bet and I think:'' Well, most likely he is doing it as post people do it with broadways or some medium Ax' but I dot wanna go broke.'' . Then he calls and I m kinda thinking to myself well I rep so much strength that maybe he is gonna fold his QQ,JJ or AK if I bet. And lets say that I was just a lucky boy in the wright spot.
  • 2 replies
    • BogdanPS
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Based on the stats you have on him he seems to be a nit postflop (75% fold to cbet over a larger sample) so cbet fold is fine.

      I feel that his range for calling could be big because of the odds he thinks he is getting (call $8 into a pot of $34).

      I don't think he will fold overpairs in this spot but you can get him to fold broadways and small pairs that didn't hit a set.
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello Sikac,

      Well, if you assume that then start calling more hands preflop. 5bet this way doesn't really work out and you practically never gonna know what the guy does with his play.

      Especially if he assumes that you are 5betting loose or as well 3betting then he may trap here. So what CB/Folding we are talking about? We can only CB if we assume he is having a loose 5bet-calling range but more often he wont do that.

      Fold to CB stat doesn't tell us much cause it's for single raised pot and never will work here. What will work if we assume him calling loose against our 5bet and only then we are able to CB it.

      Instead just give him respect and fold the hand. Maybe he just waited for a solid hand and now you wasting your whole stack on him?

      Best Regards.