[NL2-NL10] nl10 AQ hand

    • killerslo
      Joined: 22.06.2011 Posts: 99
      IPoker Network $10.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 1998512
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      MP: $16.77
      CO: $5.73 - VPIP: 33, PFR: 24, 3B: 6, AF: 4.0, Hands: 46
      Hero (BTN): $10.40
      SB: $11.55
      BB: $4.85
      UTG: $8.65

      Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero is BTN with Q :heart: A :diamond:
      2 folds, CO raises to $0.30, Hero raises to $0.90, 2 folds, CO calls $0.60

      Flop: ($1.95) K :club: 4 :diamond: J :spade: (2 players)
      CO checks, Hero bets $1.00, CO calls $1

      Turn: ($3.95) 2 :heart: (2 players)
      CO checks, Hero checks

      River: ($3.95) A :club: (2 players)
      CO bets $2.96, Hero calls $2.96
  • 1 reply
    • BogdanPS
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Cbet on flop is fine with gutshot/over and this board.

      Once called we can give up because he either has QT (draw) or Kx, Jx, sets. Occasionally he may have AQ or AT.

      He seems aggressive so far but thats a really small sample (Especially for river aggression). We can assume that he bets AJ, AK, KJ, QT, sets for value. As a bluff he may bet JT/JQ and hands that we beat that he may value bet are AT and split with AQ.

      So there aren't that many hands that we beat overall. So unless I know him capable of bluffing this is actually a spot where we can fold the river (although we get about 30% pot odds which means that he needs to bluff/bet worse a bit more than 3 out of 10 for us to show a profit).