[NL20-NL50] NL25: J8 turn stab

    • Avatars91
      Avatars91
      Bronze
      Joined: 18.12.2009 Posts: 2,689
      Party Poker $25.00 No Limit Hold'em - 5 players - View hand 1998682
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      UTG: $31.41 - VPIP: 23, PFR: 0, 3B: 0, AF: 1,0, Hands: 52
      CO: $36.87 - VPIP: 27, PFR: 23, 3B: 12, AF: 10,5, Hands: 148
      BTN: $25.22 - VPIP: 26, PFR: 21, 3B: 7, AF: 2,2, Hands: 181
      SB: $15.67 - VPIP: 28, PFR: 16, 3B: 4, AF: 1,5, Hands: 203
      Hero (BB): $25.00 - VPIP: 22, PFR: 18, 3B: 7, AF: 5,0, Hands: 29854

      Pre Flop: ($0.35) Hero is BB with 8 :spade: J :heart:
      UTG calls $0.25, 2 folds, SB calls $0.15, Hero checks

      Flop: ($0.75) A :club: 9 :club: 6 :diamond: (3 players)
      SB checks, Hero checks, UTG checks

      Turn: ($0.75) 7 :spade: (3 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $0.48, UTG folds, SB folds

      UTG: fishy openlimper
      SB: reg

      Is the turn stab not too ambitious with our low implied odds if we hit + possibly small fold equity?
  • 2 replies
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Considering SB checked twice he is out of the pot almost always.

      The only concern would be UTG but since he checked flop and turn isn't really a card that could improve his check range I think we have enough FE. Plus we have some hand equity in case he calls.
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello Avatars91,

      Problem is that you rarely going to make any pairs to fold here. Any pair calls you and rarely pays if you do hit. As long both are even loose opponents they are more likely to call you down. Therefore Check it through instead of betting into multiway pot.

      Best Regards.