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[NL2-NL10] 77 set on drawy flop

    • axeboy90
      Joined: 26.01.2010 Posts: 3,023
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.05(BB) Replayer
      SB ($5.55)
      BB ($9.64)
      Hero ($5.58)
      UTG+1 ($5)
      UTG+2 ($7.09)
      MP1 ($1.63)
      MP2 ($7.73)
      CO ($1.93)
      BTN ($5.31)

      Dealt to Hero 7:club: 7:diamond:

      Hero raises to $0.20, fold, fold, fold, MP2 calls $0.20, fold, fold, fold, fold

      FLOP ($0.47) 7:heart: 8:heart: J:heart:

      Hero bets $0.32, MP2 raises to $0.80, Hero calls $0.48

      TURN ($2.07) 7:heart: 8:heart: J:heart: 3:diamond:

      Hero checks, MP2 bets $2.82, Hero raises to $4.58 (AI), MP2 calls $1.76

      RIVER ($11.23) 7:heart: 8:heart: J:heart: 3:diamond: A:club:

      I have no info about villain. And had no idea how to play this hand.
      First, oop on the flop, should I bet? how much? What about if he re-raises?
      On the turn, I think I should have betted there, but what after his overbet?
  • 1 reply
    • BogdanPS
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      In the worst case scenario for us, versus 78, 88, JJ and flushes (and some T9) we have about 27% equity.

      IF we now add other hands such as NFD+pair (Like AJ) your equity goes up but it's never amazing.

      This is actually a spot where you can bet/fold the flop more often than not.

      As played what do you expect him to bet that big on the turn? Do you expect to be ahead often? To me it looks like his is trying to either bet large with a set or lower flush to protect (or simply bluff but that's hard to assume for unknown).