[NL20-NL50] FR50 JJ bluff

    • circoflax
      Joined: 26.02.2010 Posts: 413
      Full Tilt, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 9 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      MP2: $42.15 (84.3 bb)
      MP3: $101.95 (203.9 bb)
      CO: $76.55 (153.1 bb)
      BTN: $29 (58 bb)
      Hero (SB): $51.95 (103.9 bb)
      BB: $50 (100 bb)
      UTG+1: $20.75 (41.5 bb)
      UTG+2: $50 (100 bb)
      MP1: $66.50 (133 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is SB with J J
      2 folds, MP1 raises to $1.50, 4 folds, Hero calls $1.25, BB folds

      Flop: ($3.50) 8 K 9 (2 players)
      Hero checks, MP1 bets $2.25, Hero calls $2.25

      Turn: ($8) Q (2 players)
      Hero checks, MP1 bets $4.75, Hero raises to $14, MP1 calls $9.25

      River: ($36) A (2 players)
      Hero checks, MP1 bets $11.25, Hero folds

      Villain is agg reg, 19/16/5.4, AF 5.8, cbet flop 93, cbet turn 69, WTSD 24, fold flop to raise 2/2, fold to turn raise 1/2.
      His bet on the turn looks like very thin value, so I try to move him of as I block JT and may have some outs in case he calls, unless he has exactly AK with the A:spade: , but I think he is good enough to fold all his 1 pair hands + 1 spade at this point.

      What do you think, stop trying this at home kids?
  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello circoflax,

      Flop: Actually you should be concerned already on the flop what to do there cause it is very difficult for you to continue. His range has a lot of Kx hands. So I'd instead just fold it.

      As played
      Turn: Why I in those spots don't like to turn hand into bluff is that he could easily have K which continues and of course A also continues being IP cause he most likely has some piece of the board.

      As played
      River: That should be answered from you. Do you think he is capable of turning hands into bluff? Cause clearly only K has you beat, might even just Bet yourself to get a hero-call from him if I assume he is loose enough.

      Best Regards.