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[NL20-NL50] FD vs unknown UTG

    • 13BlackCats
      Joined: 16.08.2008 Posts: 356
      PartyGaming - $0.25 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 3

      BTN: $2.81
      SB: $33.85
      Hero (BB): $47.92
      UTG: $20.33
      MP: $35.52
      CO: $25.00

      SB posts SB $0.10, Hero posts BB $0.25

      Pre Flop: ($0.35) Hero has 6:heart: 5:heart:

      UTG raises to $0.75, MP calls $0.75, fold, fold, fold, Hero calls $0.50

      Flop: ($2.35, 3 players) 9:spade: 3:heart: 8:heart:
      Hero checks, UTG bets $1.68, fold, Hero raises to $5.70, UTG calls $4.02

      Turn: ($13.75, 2 players) 8:spade:
      Hero bets $41.47 and is all-in

      Villain= 29/5/2,3/35 41h

      on the flop my equity seems alright

      Board: 8:heart: 3:heart: 9:spade:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      MP2    39.93%  39.93%   0.00% { 6h5h }
      MP3    60.07%  60.07%   0.00% { 88+, AhKh, AhQh, KhQh, AhJh, KhJh, AhTh, JhTh }

      Do I need to give up on the Turn since overpairs are going nowhere?
  • 5 replies
    • kriko92
      Joined: 16.11.2010 Posts: 800
      His PFR is pretty low and he opens UTG so his range should be pretty strong. Also he cbets pretty big into two people on one of the worst boards for cbet bluffing. So I expect him to have mostly made hands or strong draws. If you don't think he is folding overpairs I don't see a reason to raise flop because we don't have much FE.
      On turn after he calls I don't think we have any FE so time to give up I guess.
    • pleno1
      Joined: 19.11.2010 Posts: 5,596

      I think on the turn we can check fold.

      Its likely he has a strong hand that won't fold due to pre flop and flop action.

      The turn is literally one of the worst cards we could hope for, I think just giving up is definitely ok here.

      Calling flop can be fine as well, although raising flop and getting equity shares to fold is going to be perfectly fine as well.
    • Farmarchist
      Joined: 27.12.2010 Posts: 14,640
      Fold pre ? :)
    • Tomaloc
      Joined: 17.01.2011 Posts: 7,020
      i think call pre is fine

      as played i don't like the c/r because the guy is clearly a fish and i don't think he's going to just randomly cbet a lot of missed hands. call and take the likely implieds
    • pleno1
      Joined: 19.11.2010 Posts: 5,596
      I'd call pre flop with the great price, also UTG should have a strong range so some more implied odds and our hand plays pretty well.

      Probably the worst hand I call though.