[NL2-NL10] NL10 QJo

    • TheWinnerTakesItAll
      TheWinnerTakesItAll
      Bronze
      Joined: 28.01.2012 Posts: 1,187
      Opponent stats 50/0 AF:1,4 after 18 hands.

      I think it's a fold.

      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

      Play hand

      $0.05/$0.1 No-Limit Hold'em (8 handed)

      Known players:
      CO (Hero):
      $16.47
      BU:
      $4.08
      SB:
      $10.00
      BB:
      $4.61
      UTG2:
      $11.26
      MP1:
      $12.22
      MP2:
      $13.38
      MP3:
      $10.00


      Preflop: Hero is CO with Q, J.
      4 folds, Hero raises to $0.30, 2 folds, BB calls $0.20.

      Flop: ($0.65) T, 7, K (2 players)
      BB bets $0.31, Hero calls $0.31.

      Turn: ($1.27) J (2 players)
      BB bets $1.21, Hero ???
  • 3 replies
    • CPallo
      CPallo
      Bronze
      Joined: 12.04.2012 Posts: 4,343
      Definitely fold on turn. He's moving with strong hand there, especially when he is a passive fish :)
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,694
      I think it's close, we have OESD + 2nd pair + 2nd nut flush draw. We have decent equity vs most of his range.

      I'm concerned about the pot size bet though, we get 33% pot odds and calling becomes much less profitable as compared to a 60% pot size bet (i would probably call that).

      I think the J is a really good card for his range since it completes AQ/QJ/flush/89 so I would fold. A Queen would be a slightly better card for you since it doesn't improve the lower straight draws.
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Flop could also be a raise to put pressure on his weak made hand donking range (7x, 88, 99), regain initiative and most likely give ourselves a chance to take a free turn card.

      As played the turn should be a fold versus unknown fishy guy as we could be in for some reverse implied odds among other things.