[NL20-NL50] NL25 66 bvb c/c turn and river

    • kymupa
      Joined: 22.10.2009 Posts: 22,364
      €0.12/€0.25 No Limit Holdem
      5 Players
      Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com

      UTG Player1 (€31.56) 126bb
      CO Player2 (€73.52) 294bb
      BTN Player4 (€22.38) 90bb
      SB kymupa (€24.38) 98bb
      BB Player6 (€31.58) 126bb

      Pre-Flop: (€0.37, 5 players) kymupa is SB 6:spade: 6:club:
      3 folds, kymupa raises to €0.75, Player6 calls €0.50

      Flop: 10:diamond: 3:spade: 4:spade: (€1.50, 2 players)
      kymupa bets €1, Player6 calls €1

      Turn: 4:club: (€3.50, 2 players)
      kymupa checks, Player6 bets €2, kymupa calls €2

      River: 2:heart: (€7.50, 2 players)
      kymupa checks, Player6 bets €4.50, kymupa calls €4.50

      Final Pot: €16.50


      Villian is looking like a good reg - 21/16 4.5% 3b (8% at vs steal), 39% fold to cb on flop, 30% fold to cb turn, bet in position vs missed cb 67 (3) and 28% AFq over 1.1k hands.

      Preflop is an easy raise.

      Since he does not fold to cb a lot, I can't just bet flop and c/f turn, since especially on this board I don't expect to gain a lot of fold equity with just one bet so my possabilities are:
      - check/fold flop, which I think is kind of weak since we have a pair
      - bet flop/check-call turn/reevaluate river
      - bet flop/bet turn/reevaluate river
      I decided to pick up the second line.

      Also: If the card was K :spade: it is rather bet or check/fold because I don't see any reason in c/c, but considering his low fold to cb turn% I would rather check fold there.
      And if I had AJ there? I think it would be c/c too, since it's relative value is the same and also I do have some more outs vs made hands.

      On the river I decided to c/c for two reasons:
      - almost all draws miss (except 56s but there are only two combos)
      - I don't expect him to bet a hand like 66-99 or the weak Tx
      So on the river his range must be something like AT-QT/56s/A4s/44/33/TT and busted FD's/overcards.
  • 1 reply
    • pleno1
      Joined: 19.11.2010 Posts: 5,596

      Hand is nice.

      Pre flop looks like a good raise, obviously.

      On the flop we should bet for protection vs equity shares.

      On the turn he is going to have a bunch of floats, ace highs and some other hands that will fold when we bet sometimes, soetimes raise, basically we won't know where we are.

      When he betrs the turn we are not beat by that many hands and the ones we are wont bet for value on the river.

      On the river a lot missed, he has some floats and I don't expect him to value bet 88 so I would call.