[NL20-NL50] [SH] NL 50 TPTK w bdnfd vs fish x.r

    • DeMarcohsp
      DeMarcohsp
      Bronze
      Joined: 15.06.2010 Posts: 1,975
      On Game, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      MP: $50 (100 bb)
      CO: $44.96 (89.9 bb)
      Hero (BTN): $55.04 (110.1 bb)
      SB: $61.85 (123.7 bb)
      BB: $58.58 (117.2 bb)
      UTG: $52.16 (104.3 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BTN with A K
      MP posts BB OOP, UTG folds, MP checks, CO raises to $1.25, Hero raises to $5, 2 folds, MP calls $4.50, CO calls $3.75

      Flop: ($15.75) K 3 9 (3 players)
      MP bets $7.87, CO folds, Hero raises to $18.90, MP calls $11.03

      Turn: ($53.55) T (2 players)
      MP bets $26.10 and is all-in, Hero calls $26.10

      River: ($105.75) 4 (2 players, 1 is all-in)

      Results:
      $105.75 pot ($3 rake)
      Final Board: K 3 9 T 4
      MP showed 6 7 and won $102.75 ($52.75 net)
      Hero showed A K and lost (-$50 net)




      Board: K:club: 3:diamond: 9:diamond:  T:diamond:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      MP2    70.21%  70.21%   0.00% { 99, 33, KQs, K9s, KdAd, QdAd, JdAd, JdKd, TdKd, 9dKd, 8dKd, 7dKd, 6dKd, 5dKd, 4dKd, 3dKd, 2dKd, JdQd, TdQd, 9dQd, 8dQd, 7dQd, 6dQd, 5dQd, 4dQd, 3dQd, 2dQd, TdJd, 9dJd, 8dJd, 7dJd, 6dJd, 5dJd, 4dJd, 3dJd, 2dJd, 8d6d, 7d6d, KQo }
      MP3    29.79%  29.79%   0.00% { AdKh }


      What do you think about this range assessment without any stats on the fish?

      I'd fold without the A:diamond: .
  • 6 replies
    • kriko92
      kriko92
      Bronze
      Joined: 16.11.2010 Posts: 800
      I don't think a fish will play 99/33/K9/KQ this way. For me calling flop and then donking turn by a fish means that he wasn't very confident in his hand strenght on flop and turn improved him. So either some KT if he doesn't fold it on flop or flushes imo.
    • pleno1
      pleno1
      Coach
      Coach
      Joined: 19.11.2010 Posts: 5,596
      reads?

      We can probably take the Q3dd type of hands out of his range or at least not give him all the combos.

      He also can't have the Td combos you gave him. DUCY ;)

      Similar for the 9d combos!
    • Farmarchist
      Farmarchist
      Bronze
      Joined: 27.12.2010 Posts: 14,640
      His range won't be so wide since he's coldcalling a 3bet after limping.

      I think we have a crying fold on the turn :( . I was also think about just calling the flop but I guess our hands is strong enough to go broke and he can still call us with worse hands.
    • DeMarcohsp
      DeMarcohsp
      Bronze
      Joined: 15.06.2010 Posts: 1,975
      Yeah, I think he is likely to be donking many not so strong hands and I want my value now, before anything bad happens on the turn.

      I also kinda agree with the fold on the turn.
    • TetraQuark
      TetraQuark
      Bronze
      Joined: 21.05.2008 Posts: 1,520
      I still don't get what is the right line here, not a clear anwser here I mean.

      Why aren't we almost potting it vs fish on this flop, and make our life so much easier on turn if he just calls flop? We have nuts almost alw here.
    • imfromsweden007
      imfromsweden007
      Bronze
      Joined: 11.10.2008 Posts: 726
      The sizing is fine. There is no need to scare the fish away with a huge raise on the flop, we're not folding any turn anyway.

      OP, you played the hand fine. I would call turn for sure.

      ifs