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[NL20-NL50] SH20 - Combodraw vs raise on turn

    • chocular77
      Joined: 15.06.2010 Posts: 1,102

      UTG: 66/3

      $0.10/$0.20 No Limit Holdem
      6 Players
      Hand Conversion Powered by

      UTG ($29.49) 147bb
      cincinkid (UTG+1) ($23.07) 115bb
      CO ($21.50) 108bb
      BTN ($2.03) 10bb
      SB ($21.92) 110bb
      BB ($20.63) 103bb

      Pre-Flop: ($0.30, 6 players) cincinkid is UTG+1 Q J
      UTG calls $0.20, cincinkid raises to $1, CO calls $1, 3 folds, UTG folds

      Flop: T J 3 ($2.50, 2 players)
      cincinkid bets $2, CO calls $2

      Turn: K ($6.50, 2 players)
      cincinkid bets $4.20, CO raises to $12.20, cincinkid goes all-in $20.07, CO calls $6.30

      I think he would raise his sets already on the flop since it's very wet.
      I also have to exclude simple flushdraws since he would raise it rather on the flop then turn.
      So there is only things left like KJ, KQ and maybe a QhX flushdraw.
      I don't have any foldequity left but i thought my equity with this combodraw is enough.

      Final Pot: $43.50
  • 2 replies
    • pleno1
      Joined: 19.11.2010 Posts: 5,596
      Hey chocular77,

      Pre flop looks great, vs UTG i would probably raise as wide as q8cc pre flop.

      j10x flops are flops that hit so many ranges. 78, 89, 67, qk, q9, j10, jq, jk, aj, k10, q10, 910, etc etc hit this flop, once we take into account all the potential flush draws its even more likely that he defends the flop super wide.

      So I would never ever slowplay j10x boards and be careful only betting one street as a bluff on the same board texture.

      I agree I don't think he is slowplaying sets here.

      So when he gets to the turn I think he has all flush draws, and some Kx hands.

      He doesn't seem very aggresive, so on the turn I would go for a bet again. We have very good equity still so although it is super super close this would be the very worst hand that I would go for.

      We could also go for c/shove as sometimes he may b/f KQ or something very nitty. We can also get equity shares to fold.

      Very close spot, interested to hearing other thoughts?
    • EmanuelC16
      Joined: 02.01.2010 Posts: 13,909
      Villain's not a station so I'd check/call turn, even if I doubt he bluffs too wide when we check. This is probably one of the best hands in your range to do it with imo since your pot equity is great, good implied odds on flush and when you bet you don't get much value. I mean, sure he can call with 40%-ish equity but that's not really a great result since he has position for all river decisions. He probably bets some heart draws in his range which he'd call but apart from that he probably calls better made hands than ours or folds. Him folding is not awful but if folds very low equity hands anyway otherwise he is probably not making any mistake by calling IP.

      For overall game plan, you probably cbet once and give up so often here that it's nice to have some hands to call twice very often or even check/shove river with a royal flush. :D