[NL20-NL50] Standard snap call on river need 24% eq to be? NL 50

    • Saren113
      Joined: 06.03.2009 Posts: 2,973
      Villian is a 68-18 player so he got some aF, but he is more passive postflop tho. My thinking was like when the jack comes on the river it's very unlikely he got a jack it's unlikely he got a made hand as I block the nut FD. So he is quite polarized to either a busted FD a second pair like(77 88 99 TT or a jack don't ever think he got a set on this board he wouldn't c/c it he would either donk it on flop or check raise it.

      GTECH G2 (Boss) - kr2 NL (5 max) - Holdem - 4 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

      SB: k218.56
      Hero (BB): k417.35
      UTG: k91.37
      BTN: k398.00

      SB posts SB k1.00, Hero posts BB k2.00

      Pre Flop: (pot: k3.00) Hero has A:club: A:diamond:

      fold, fold, SB raises to k6.00, Hero raises to k18.00, SB calls k12.00

      Flop: (k36.00, 2 players) 6:diamond: 3:diamond: J:diamond:
      SB checks, Hero bets k27.00, SB calls k27.00

      Turn: (k90.00, 2 players) 2:club:
      SB checks, Hero bets k68.00, SB calls k68.00

      River: (k226.00, 2 players) J:spade:
      SB bets k105.56 and is all-in, Hero calls k105.56
  • 2 replies
    • Farmarchist
      Joined: 27.12.2010 Posts: 14,640

      I just don't think that he is floating 2 street in a 3bet pot to donkshove the river as a bluff. He is way more likely to check the river with TT. He can't have many missed FD's which shove because you block them.

      For me it's a fold.
    • getdotacom
      Joined: 06.04.2008 Posts: 608
      This spot really sucks, but I think u have to fold. He will show up with Jx or flush like 99% of the time. This player will never turn any pair into a bluff and he can't have Ahi flushdraw, so he has no busted fds at all. I rather call with AK without Ad than this :)