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[NL20-NL50] NL25 SH - 66: with a size read

    • Lunitis
      Joined: 22.02.2009 Posts: 20,136
      10% OR UTG
      4% limp/raise
      70% cbet flop
      53% fold cbet vs raise
      45% wwsf
      29% wtsd
      8.2k mãos

      Read: donkbet 1/3 /call with flush draw+ gut shot

      BB: $6.51 (26 bb)
      UTG: $16.57 (66.3 bb)
      MP: $22.50 (90 bb)
      CO: $25 (100 bb)
      Hero (BTN): $25 (100 bb)
      SB: $26.32 (105.3 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BTN with 6:club: 6:heart:
      UTG raises to $0.75, 2 folds, Hero calls $0.75, 2 folds

      Flop: ($1.85) A:club: 4:heart: T:spade: (2 players)
      UTG bets $0.75, Hero raises to $2.10, UTG calls $1.35

      Turn: ($6.05) A:heart: (2 players)
      UTG bets $2.55, Hero

      Having that size tell of the donkbet and the decent fold cbet vs raise i decided to turn my hand into a bluff in the flop, but im not sure if he is capable of folding KK-JJ on the flop, if so betting the turn its bad, but if he dont fold those hands on the flop i have to bet again on the turn. At the time i think i was planing to bet the turn, but he comes with that bet in the turn...
  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779
      53% fold cbet vs raise is a little high but nothing too special. I also think that he could use this size with gutshots and TX and i don't expect him to fold TX to a single raise.

      Randomly raising with a hand as weak as 66 on this 2 broadway board and then barreling off just seems spewy to me. Pick a better hand like 8h9h or KQ to do it.