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[NL20-NL50] NL50 AA vs FH raise river

    • double2
      double2
      Bronze
      Joined: 04.11.2008 Posts: 14,642
      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

      Reproduzir mão

      $0.25/$0.5 No-Limit Hold'em (5 handed)

      Known players:
      BB:
      $66.51
      MP3:
      $60.99
      CO (Hero):
      $50.38
      BU:
      $49.25
      SB:
      $5.85


      Preflop: Hero is CO with A, A.
      MP3 folds, Hero raises to $1.12, 2 folds, BB calls $0.62.

      Flop: ($2.49) 2, 2, 2 (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $1.50, BB calls $1.50.

      Turn: ($5.49) 7 (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $3.50, BB calls $3.50.

      River: ($12.49) 6 (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $7.50, BB raises to $21.24.

      Final Pot: $41.23.

      Villain 859 hands
      28/25/14
      call BB vs steal 10% (67)
      fold to cbet flop 67%
      WTSD 24%
      WWSF 46%
      agg Freq river 22%

      I don't think he is ever bluffing this river, don't see him turning a 55 into bluff.
  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779
      High FTCbet means he doesn't float stuff like KQ here too often.

      So main question is whether he turns 55/88 into a bluff. Or could he somehow show up with KK/QQ and take this line? I think both are not too likely, but he has kind of LAGgy preflop stats which may make it more possible that he is capable of doing it.

      With that said, I think as a general rule of thumb NL50 players don't turn weak made hands into bluffs too often. I think you should bet $9 on the River simply because there's more value, and it also reduces chances of having opponent turn something into a bluff.

      Fold now