[NL2-NL10] NL5 Zoom AAs Villain x/r overshove

    • cheekopeh
      Joined: 27.09.2010 Posts: 461
      Poker Stars, $0.02/$0.05 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      BTN: $5 (100 bb)
      SB: $3.91 (78.2 bb)
      BB: $4.72 (94.4 bb)
      Hero (UTG): $5.10 (102 bb)
      MP: $5 (100 bb)
      CO: $3.35 (67 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is UTG with A A
      Hero raises to $0.20, 4 folds, BB calls $0.15

      Flop: ($0.42) 4 2 7 (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $0.37, BB raises to $4.52 and is all-in, Hero calls $4.15

      Turn: ($9.46) 3 (2 players, 1 is all-in)
      River: ($9.46) 8 (2 players, 1 is all-in)

      $9.46 pot ($0.39 rake)
      Final Board: 4 2 7 3 8
      BB showed 7 7 and won $9.07 ($4.35 net)
      Hero showed A A and lost (-$4.72 net)

      Villain is unknown.


      I mean, it's definitely not the best line for him to take with top set just shoving when he's gonna get so much more value raising.

      Question for me is, can I ever fold Aces w/o any info on Villain on this kind of wet board against such a weird line taken by him? It smells like FD or SD so often.
  • 2 replies
    • BogdanPS
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi cheekopeh,

      First, let's look at the facts: we get about 48% pot odds.

      Now, let's look at what hands may do this and see some equities:

      22 | 44 | 77 | TT-KK we have about 68%. If we take away TT-JJ (or QQ-KK) we still have 55%.

      Now if we add draws it gets better. Most draws (except the ones with gutshot too) they have about 35%+ equity or so.

      Now, considering that he is short we can assume that he is fishy so he can slowplay hands like QQ/KK and play them like this postflop so personally I would not fold here.

      Keep in mind that against his whole range here we can have 60-65% equity which is still good considering that our pot odds are 48%.
    • cheekopeh
      Joined: 27.09.2010 Posts: 461
      Hi Coach,

      I get it. I did not think about my pot odds and equity to call here. But mainly, just what his ranges are. Will explore equilab and train myself w ranges and equities. Thanks!