[NL20-NL50] NL25 SH - KQ: floping st8 in monotone

    • Lunitis
      Lunitis
      Gold
      Joined: 22.02.2009 Posts: 20,132
      42/25/2.7
      5% call open bu
      10.3% 3bet
      44% fold vs cbet
      31% raise cbet ip (55)
      47% wwsf
      1.5k hands


      BB: $10 (40 bb)
      UTG: $43.45 (173.8 bb)
      Hero (MP): $26.27 (105.1 bb)
      CO: $30.51 (122 bb)
      BTN: $34.52 (138.1 bb)
      SB: $27.76 (111 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is MP with K:club: Q:heart:
      UTG folds, Hero raises to $0.75, CO folds, BTN calls $0.75, 2 folds

      Flop: ($1.85) T:diamond: A:diamond: J:diamond: (2 players)
      Hero bets $1.50, BTN raises to $4.35, Hero ?
  • 2 replies
    • double2
      double2
      Coach
      Coach
      Joined: 04.11.2008 Posts: 14,642
      I can't really see that many combos of made flush he could have. But he can definitely have AJ, TT and JJ, all of which he will jam flop. So I just re-raise and ship on flop.
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,696
      Wow sick spot. 5% call BU means he has few connectors.

      Td9d, KdQd are the only 2 hands I can think of given such a tight calling range. But then again I think this is a sample size issue. I don't believe a 42/25 player calls with such a tight range.

      We have 3 options: fold, call and check/raise allin on non-pair and non-diamond, and ship flop

      I think our hand is way too strong to fold vs someone who is getting out of line with his raises.

      Calling seems tough to play when so many cards kill our action.

      So that means that 3betting flop seems like the best option, esp if he stacks off with stuff like KdJ KdA or TT, JJ, twopairs. I won't be surprised to see 2pairs here against a bad player. It's also good if he just folds and we win the pot.