[NL20-NL50] NL50 adapting to villain

    • double2
      double2
      Coach
      Coach
      Joined: 04.11.2008 Posts: 14,642
      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

      Reproduzir mão

      $0.25/$0.5 No-Limit Hold'em (4 handed)

      Known players:
      SB:
      $49.56
      BB (Hero):
      $53.10
      CO:
      $50.00
      BU:
      $50.50


      Preflop: Hero is BB with J, A.
      CO folds, BU raises to $1.43, SB folds, Hero calls $0.93.

      Flop: ($3.11) K, 5, K (2 players)
      Hero checks, BU bets $2.00, Hero calls $2.00.

      Turn: ($7.11) 8 (2 players)
      Hero checks, BU checks.

      River: ($7.11) 2 (2 players)
      Hero bets $4.50, BU calls $4.50.

      Final Pot: $16.11.

      Results follow:

      BU shows three of a kind, kings(T K).
      Hero shows a pair of kings(J A).

      BU wins with three of a kind, kings(T K).
      ´

      Villain 436 hands
      19/16/8

      Firstly, shouldn't villain cbet turn for value against PPs? He certaintly doesn't know that I am able to float OOP. Does his play have merits?

      Can I take some conclusions based on villains play? Like, does this weakens his 2nd barreling range?
  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,696
      Preflop: You should take note of his opening range. The wider his opening range is, the greater your relative hand strength and showdown value with Ace high.

      Flop: Call is standard.

      I just randomly calculated your hand against a 50% range on this Flop.

      Equity Win Tie
      MP2 57.85% 54.66% 3.19% AJs, AJo
      MP3 42.15% 38.96% 3.19% 33+, A2s+, K2s+, Q2s+, J4s+, T6s+, 96s+, 86s+, 76s, 65s, A2o+, K5o+, Q7o+, J7o+, T7o+, 98o

      You can see that you are pretty far ahead. I don't see any reason for you to turn your hand into a bluff on the River.

      Would you bet 77 on the River? I don't think so.

      Equity Win Tie
      MP2 61.57% 61.34% 0.23% 77
      MP3 38.43% 38.20% 0.23% 33+, A2s+, K2s+, Q2s+, J4s+, T6s+, 96s+, 86s+, 76s, 65s, A2o+, K5o+, Q7o+, J7o+, T7o+, 98o

      Your hand doesn't need to be turned into a bluff since it has very good showdown value. At the same time you cannot bet for value both with 77 and Ace high. So check, and if he bets, evaluate whether you think he's capable of a) 2barreling light b) bet check bet as a bluff

      If answer is no, fold. If answer is yes, then call if you have the right odds.


      Does it weaken his 2barrel range? Yes, but i think this guy has low barreling range in the first place. My guess is that this guy has 2barrel stat of <40% if im not wrong so you might want to check that out.

      But mostly, this tells you that this guy doesn't know how to barrel thinly, and is a pot controller.