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[NL2-NL10] Fold or call with AK here?

    • maheepsangari
      maheepsangari
      Bronze
      Joined: 08.06.2010 Posts: 2,163
      Prima, $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 5 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      Hero (BTN): $11.54 (115.4 bb)
      SB: $1.03 (10.3 bb)
      BB: $8.74 (87.4 bb) 63/19/2.5/5.0/22/353 BB 3bet 7.3%(41)
      MP: $21.11 (211.1 bb)
      CO: $17.12 (171.2 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BTN with K A
      2 folds, Hero raises to $0.30, SB calls $0.25, BB raises to $8.74 and is all-in, Hero folds, SB calls $0.73 and is all-in
  • 1 reply
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Considering we need close to 48-49% equity this is a spot where we would be gambling going all in.

      Let's assume a range of: 77+,A9s+,K9s+,Q9s+,J9s+,T9s,ATo+,KQo

      Against this we have 59% equity. And that's a really wide range (that's about 13% of all hands).

      So if you fold, after investing only 3 big blinds I don't think it's a huge mistake.

      If we go with the hand it's probably not a mistake either but it's a high short term variance spot, and if you are tilty it can turn into a -ev play because when you lose you have the chance to tilt a lot away.