[NL2-NL10] NL10 SH set vs river shove

    • lood88
      lood88
      Bronze
      Joined: 26.09.2010 Posts: 88
      Villain is 17/14, 2.4 AF with 9% WTSD. Only 350 hands tho.


      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

      Play hand

      $0.05/$0.1 No-Limit Hold'em (6 handed)

      Known players:
      CO:
      $5.20
      BU:
      $10.27
      SB (Hero):
      $10.00
      BB:
      $13.52
      MP2:
      $10.15
      MP3:
      $6.80


      Preflop: Hero is SB with 7, 7.
      MP2 raises to $0.30, 3 folds, Hero calls $0.25, BB folds.

      Flop: ($0.7) 7, 5, 8 (2 players)
      Hero checks, MP2 checks.

      Turn: ($0.7) J (2 players)
      Hero bets $0.44, MP2 calls $0.44.

      River: ($1.58) 4 (2 players)
      Hero bets $0.75, MP2 raises to $9.41(All-In), Hero ???

      Final Pot: $2.33.


      What do you think?
  • 1 reply
    • kymupa
      kymupa
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.10.2009 Posts: 22,364
      Hello,

      Preflop calling is fine.

      Checking the flop is fine. If he doesn't cbet he rarely has much equity against our hand since I'd expect him to bet any made hands/draws.

      On the turn I'd make it around $0.5-$0.55.

      On the river his WTSD really concerns me and I will be willing to check/fold here since I'm not really expecting him to bet or call with a lot of worse hands.
      I think it is close but I think it won't be really bad (if it is bad at all) to check/fold.

      Best,
      Plamen