[NL2-NL10] NL2 6max QQ vs Fish on K flop

    • Arxyn
      Arxyn
      Bronze
      Joined: 08.11.2009 Posts: 25
      PokerStars - $0.02 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

      BB: 100 BB
      UTG: 77 BB
      MP: 114 BB
      Hero (CO): 256 BB
      BTN: 109.5 BB
      SB: 457.5 BB 45/8/25 VPIP/PFR/Hands

      SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

      Pre Flop: (pot: $0.03) Hero has Q:spade: Q:heart:

      fold, fold, Hero raises to 4 BB, BTN calls 4 BB, SB calls 3.5 BB, fold

      Flop: ($0.26, 3 players) 3:diamond: K:club: 7:diamond:
      SB bets 12 BB, Hero calls 12 BB, fold

      Turn: ($0.74, 2 players) 5:spade:
      SB bets 17 BB, Hero calls 17 BB

      River: ($1.42, 2 players) 7:heart:
      SB bets 68 BB, fold

      SB wins 68.5 BB

      Pre Flop

      I have pocket queen on CO, first one in, pretty standard 4BB raise. Get two calls behind.

      Post Flop

      The SB donks flop for 12BB which is a large bet. Flop also shows a King as over card. Possible flush draw, however the few hands I have on villain show him as pretty fishy. It's also a nice flop to CBet (bluff on). I think my queens are ahead here, my plan is to call flop and see what happens on turn.

      I put villains range as :

      http://www.pokerstrategy.com
      Board: 7d3dKc
      Equity Win Tie
      MP2 37.19% 36.93% 0.27% { 22+, ATs+, KTs+, QTs+, JTs, ATo+, KTo+, QTo+, JTo }
      MP3 62.81% 62.54% 0.27% { QQ }

      My equity seems really nice...

      Turn shows a 5c, I don't think this would change villains range. He bets again however this time it is much smaller (50%) of pot. I think this is a sure call, if I assumed I was ahead on flop and nothing really changes on turn so I should still assume I ahead on turn as well.

      River shows relatively safe card and villain goes for large pot size bet. He just bet 3 lanes now. I'm not sure how this would change his range though. Not enough hands on him to tell if he bluffs his draws or plays ultra aggressive. I decide to fold.

      I'm just starting to put people on ranges and analyze my hands. If you could comment on my thought process as well as post flop play that would be really helpful.

      Thank you!
  • 1 reply
    • kymupa
      kymupa
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.10.2009 Posts: 22,364
      Hello,

      Preflop raising is fine.

      On the flop I prefer folding. Don't really think calling the flop is good here. He bets almost potsize so we can assume that he has a goodish hand, also we have a player behind us.
      Also we will have to play two more streets and I won't feel really happy to call turn/river in this spot so without much information I prefer folding.

      The turn doesn't change much and if you assumed that you are ahead on the flop then you could call the turn.
      Nevertheless I prefer folding here, since I don't really think he is betting many worse hands here.

      On the river folding is fine against this bet.

      Best,
      Plamen