[NL20-NL50] NL25 SH - QJo: draw vs MSS

    • Lunitis
      Joined: 22.02.2009 Posts: 20,136
      59% steal from BU
      77% fold vs 3bet
      89% cbet flop
      66% fold vs raise cbet flop
      46% cbet turn
      61% fold vs raise cbet turn
      52% wwsf
      24% wtsd
      12k hands

      SB: $39.34 (157.4 bb)
      Hero (BB): $25 (100 bb)
      UTG: $17.87 (71.5 bb)
      MP: $34 (136 bb)
      CO: $13.15 (52.6 bb)
      BTN: $11.14 (44.6 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BB with J:spade: Q:diamond:
      3 folds, BTN raises to $0.62, SB folds, Hero calls $0.37

      Flop: ($1.34) 9:heart: 7:diamond: T:diamond: (2 players)
      Hero checks, BTN bets $1.25, Hero

      First thing i think i this board with my hand against a MSS with this stats is to c/c c/rai, but that size in the cbet puts me uncomfortable :evil:
      Whats your play here?
      Agree with the flat preflop?
  • 1 reply
    • BogdanPS
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi Lunitis,

      Preflop: QJo can be both a call or a 3-bet preflop. Considering that he cbets so much and then folds to raises I would also call and play aggressively postflop. I'd actually call with a very wide range and play this way.

      The one thing we have to keep in mind preflop is that the 3-bet will show a profit. The only question is if the flat can show a bigger profit, and this all depends on how you play versus him.

      Flop: Considering that he is short he will get the money in lighter here.

      With that being said I still feel that he will have a lot of garbage cbetting this and hands that can bet/fold (like a 9x, 7x, etc).

      I wouldn't necessarily like to c/c and c/raise because villain may check the turn a lot once we call here (his double barrel isn't that high). So because of that I don't mind ck/raising this flop.