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[NL20-NL50] [SH] NL50 QQ 3way

    • duder1n0
      duder1n0
      Black
      Joined: 07.07.2009 Posts: 5,335
      Prima, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players

      Hero (CO): $52.18 (104.4 bb)
      BTN: $50 (100 bb)
      SB: $57.54 (115.1 bb)
      BB: $104.63 (209.3 bb)
      UTG: $25.16 (50.3 bb)
      MP: $126.01 (252 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is CO with Q Q
      UTG raises to $1.50, MP folds, Hero raises to $4.50, BTN calls $4.50, 2 folds, UTG calls $3

      Flop: ($14.25) 7 2 4 (3 players)
      UTG checks, Hero bets $7, BTN raises to $20.50, UTG raises to $20.66 and is all-in, Hero ???


      Anon table.

      UTG played 33/22 after 110 hands.
      BTN played 0/0 (!) after 20 hands.

      Stackoff? UTG wasnt too much of a concern for me (fishy donk, only halfstack), but BTN seems to be a real nit, so his coldcall range could easily be just KK+. But if he could have JJ/TT as well, and able to overplay them like that, then I cant fold anymore.
  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779
      Wow this sucks. In single raised pots I probably fold. But this is a 3bet pot. Let's analyze the situation carefully.

      What's BU's likely PF range? 88-JJ. I think he should 4bet KK+ most of the time.
      UTG's range? many small/mid pocketpairs, some suited broadways

      Given that UTG is a halfstack, my intuition tells me that we could stack off here. I'm not really afraid of BU because I assume he could very easily misplay 99/TT/JJ here, given that we more or less eliminated KK+ in his range. Ok perhaps he slowplays AA/KK some % of the time. But still, I think vs him, we are 50/50 or maybe even slightly ahead if we discount AA and KK from his PF range.

      What about UTG? I think he could have 88-JJ as well. He could potentially misplay 66/55/33 really hard if he's bad enough. He probably stacks off with 2 overs + heart draw really often as well.