[NL20-NL50] NL25sh- bluff river?

    • Farmarchist
      Farmarchist
      Bronze
      Joined: 27.12.2010 Posts: 14,640
      hey,

      do you guys prefer to stab river like halfpot?

      Poker Stars $25.00 No Limit Hold'em - 5 players - View hand 2020222
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      Hero (BTN): $25.35 - VPIP: 17, PFR: 14, 3B: 6, AF: 3.6, Hands: 538002
      SB: $24.30 - VPIP: 18, PFR: 9, 3B: 0, AF: 0.5, Hands: 96
      BB: $10.00 - VPIP: 24, PFR: 20, 3B: 8, AF: 0.5, Hands: 45
      UTG: $45.70 - VPIP: 27, PFR: 27, 3B: 18, AF: 1.5, Hands: 51
      CO: $24.62 - VPIP: 27, PFR: 15, 3B: 6, AF: 3.0, Hands: 48

      Pre Flop: ($0.35) Hero is BTN with Q :club: 3 :diamond:
      2 folds, Hero raises to $0.50, SB calls $0.40, BB calls $0.25

      Flop: ($1.50) 7 :spade: 4 :spade: T :spade: (3 players)
      SB checks, BB checks, Hero checks

      Turn: ($1.50) 4 :heart: (3 players)
      SB checks, BB checks, Hero checks

      River: ($1.50) 8 :spade: (3 players)
      SB checks, BB checks, Hero checks
  • 1 reply
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi farmarchist,

      Since we have position and Q high only we can actually bluff this flop because you won't really get floated unless they have a bigger spade and/or pair+draw. And despite the lack of equity there are many turn cards we can fire again as a bluff.

      As played, since we didn't bet flop or turn how would a river bet look like? I feel that we would get called by any spade hand but since they checked so far they most likely don't have Js+ so a bet now could take it down. If you bet 1/2 pot you need about 33% success rate.