[NL2-NL10] FR NL4 , Is this greed?

    • Erevos
      Erevos
      Bronze
      Joined: 09.01.2011 Posts: 129
      UTG+1: $4 (100 bb)
      UTG+2: $5.12 (128 bb)
      MP1: $4.80 (120 bb)
      Hero (MP2): $7.58 (189.5 bb)
      MP3: $5.49 (137.3 bb)
      CO: $3.80 (95 bb)
      BTN: $5.11 (127.8 bb)
      SB: $2.08 (52 bb)
      BB: $4.08 (102 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is MP2 with Q K
      2 folds, MP1 calls $0.04, Hero calls $0.04, 2 folds, BTN raises to $0.12, 2 folds, MP1 calls $0.08, Hero calls $0.08

      Flop: ($0.42) 2 A A (3 players)
      MP1 checks, Hero checks, BTN checks

      Turn: ($0.42) K (3 players)
      MP1 bets $0.30, Hero calls $0.30, BTN folds

      River: ($1.02) 6 (2 players)
      MP1 checks, Hero bets $0.76, MP1 raises to $1.80, Hero raises to $7.16 and is all-in, MP1 calls $2.58

      Results:
      $9.78 pot ($0.65 rake)
      Final Board: 2 A A K 6
      MP1 showed 2 2 and won $9.13 ($4.33 net)
      Hero showed Q K and lost (-$4.80 net)

      Opponents stats:
      VPIP / PFR / AF / WTSD / W$SD =
      13 / 11 / 4 / 18 / 44 over 420 hands.

      His limp-call preflop matches perfectly with pocket 2s , but i could not deduce this during the hand. Any other advice would be welcome.
      Thanks.
  • 2 replies
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi Erevos,

      Preflop: Why are we limping behind one player here? We should always raise here to isolate, take initiative in the hand and play on our terms (as opposed to having to limp/call like here).

      Flop/turn: looks fine although on the turn we don't really beat much other than bluffs.

      River: What do we expect villain to check raise on that river?

      I can't see him ever bluffing there nor raising a hand like A3 so the only two hands that he can do this for value are 22 and A2s (about 5 combos total).

      So in a spot like this, considering villain, I would be happy bet folding, and in the worst case scenario bet/call. What do you expect villain to call your shove with that we beat?
    • Erevos
      Erevos
      Bronze
      Joined: 09.01.2011 Posts: 129
      Yeah, so true. Considering villain is the key ...

      I really had in my mind J or even 10 high flushes calling here, but this player probably would not.