[NL2-NL10] JJ nl4

    • skirhead
      skirhead
      Bronze
      Joined: 20.02.2009 Posts: 40
      PartyGaming - $0.04 NL - Holdem - 9 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

      CO: $1.34
      BTN: $3.29
      SB: $7.55
      Hero (BB): $4.00
      UTG: $4.00
      UTG+1: $3.94
      UTG+2: $7.52
      MP: $4.08
      MP+1: $7.55

      SB posts SB $0.02, Hero posts BB $0.04

      Pre Flop: (pot: $0.06) Hero has J:heart: J:spade:

      fold, fold, UTG+2 raises to $0.16, fold, fold, CO calls $0.16, fold, fold, Hero raises to $0.64, UTG+2 calls $0.48, fold

      Flop: ($1.46, 2 players) 8:diamond: 2:spade: 9:club:
      Hero bets $1.12, UTG+2 calls $1.12

      Turn: ($3.70, 2 players) 5:heart:
      Hero checks, UTG+2 bets $5.76 and is all-in, Hero calls $2.24 and is all-in

      River: ($8.18, 2 players) 8:heart:

      utg+2 stats:

      vpip/pfr/4b/ft3b/AFq/ftFcb
      20/7/13(1/8)/38/35/47

      utg+2 opening range from MP is 9%, so i give him {TT+,ATs+,KJs+,QJs,ATo+,KQo} but he would prabably 4bet AA and KK. Now I see i don't really have value bet on flop. I check on turn for pot control (without position.. ;) ) and he bets. I need 27% equity and have 59% against {QQ-TT,ATs+,KJs+,QJs,ATo+,KQo} and 50% against QQ-TT (still 34% against TT+) so i called.
      Should I squeeze preflop without position? What you think about this hand generally?
      Thanks.

      results:

      Hero shows J:heart: J:spade: (Two Pair, Jacks and Eights) (Pre 82%, Flop 90%, Turn 95%)
      UTG+2 shows T:spade: T:diamond: (Two Pair, Tens and Eights) (Pre 18%, Flop 10%, Turn 5%)
      UTG+2 wins $0.00
      Hero wins $7.78
  • 1 reply
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi Skirhead,

      Preflop: Our 3-bet is mostly as a bluff vs UTG+2 however we can squeeze here for value to isolate the short CO (that seems fishy).

      With two regs in the pot our squeeze would be as a bluff to take down the dead money (I can't see it being for value unless we have dynamics or they are very aggro).

      As played I think that the range you gave him is a bit wide. Considering this is FR I can see villain having TT-KK most of the time (after calling flop) plus slowplayed sets (22, 88, 99) some of the time.

      Since we only beat 6 combos of TT, tie against 1 combo of JJ, and lose to 12 combos QQ-KK along with potentially 9 combos of sets it is very close to a fold.

      6/29 = 21% that we beat
      1/29 = 3% we tie
      22/29 = 76% we lose to